Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Palmar (Sanlúcar de Barrameda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Atlético Sanluqueño		Hércules

	1	X	2
	2.63	3	2.55
	2.78	2.98	2.52
	2.81	2.95	2.85
	2.83	2.81	2.78	Watch
	2.75	2.75	2.5
	2.71	2.83	2.58
	2.66	2.71	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.57)	2.86 ↓ (2.9)	2.64 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Sanluqueño
33.4%

Draw
32%

Hércules
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

31.4%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

32.9%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Sanluqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Hércules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Sanluqueño than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Atlético Sanluqueño - Hércules Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sanluqueño (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Hércules (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Hércules (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sanluqueño (votes: 1 - 25%). Hércules (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dominguez R. (G) 2. Sola Villalba R. 18. Diallo B. 5. Trapero 3. Cabrera J. 16. Tounkara N. 10. Feria J. 8. Gallastegui J. 9. Zequi (C) 21. Satoca D. 17. Rodri	1. Trujillo Hernandez A. C. (C) 2. Vazquez S. 5. Monsalve N. 4. Rentero J. 24. Jimenez J. 8. Mangada C. 14. Ben Hamed N. 22. Aranda A. 11. Ropero U. 19. Sol F. 28. Galvan J.
Substitutes
20. Arruabarrena J. 30. Barea P. 22. Carneil H. 23. Gomez A. 27. Gonzalez I. 19. Juarez A. 7. Kikin 1. Kudakovskiy P. (G) 11. Lorenzo O. 28. Moreno F. 12. Rodriguez S. 25. Valencia F. (G)	3. Alvarez A. 13. Blazic A. (G) 15. Cantero R. 17. De Leon J. 23. de Palmas R. 21. Retu 18. Rojas C. 9. Slavy 20. Sotillos A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Sol F. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Gallastegui J. ⚽,
35', Sol F. 🟨,
45+7', Feria J. 🟨,
45+7', Rentero J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Feria J. ↓, Juarez A. ↑,
60', Ropero U. ↓, Rojas C. ↑,
69', Gallastegui J. ↓, Lorenzo O. ↑,
72', Aranda A. ↓, de Palmas R. ↑,
72', Galvan J. ↓, De Leon J. ↑,
73', Diallo B. 🟨,
78', Ben Hamed N. 🟨,
81', Tounkara N. ↓, Barea P. ↑,
81', Rodri ↓, Carneil H. ↑,
86', De Leon J. 🟥,
89', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Recent form of Sanluqueño has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hércules is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sanluqueño may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sanluqueño won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Sanluqueño won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Sanluqueño
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.12.25	Marbella - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Tarazona	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Algeciras - Atlético Sanluqueño	3:0 ✺
15.11.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Villarreal B - Atlético Sanluqueño	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLTL
- Hércules CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.12.25	Hércules - Juventud de Torremolinos	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Hércules	2:2 ✺
22.11.25	Hércules - Betis B	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Eldense - Hércules	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Hércules - CE Europa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
24.05.25	Hércules - Atlético Sanluqueño	2:3
22.12.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Hércules	1:1

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