Match Info

BRAZIL: Goiano - Round 8

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Jonas Duarte (Anápolis)


	Anápolis		Aparecidense

	1	X	2
	1.98	3	3.5
	2.03	2.85	3.65
	2	2.93	3.85
	2.03	3.05	3.75	Watch
	1.66	3.5	5
	2.03	3.3	3.65
	2.03	2.85	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.69)	3.07 ↓ (3.4)	3.86 ↓ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anápolis
46.5%

Draw
29.8%

Aparecidense
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

26.5%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

25.5%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anápolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Anápolis's form might have worsened.

Aparecidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anápolis than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Anápolis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Anápolis - Aparecidense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Paulo Henrique (G) 10. Ariel 6. Caxambu 11. Erick 2. Fabio 20. Ferrugem 29. Igor Cassio 3. Igor Souza 5. Joao Afonso (C) 21. Kadu 4. Victor Oliveira	94. Matheus Alves (G) 2. David Junio 5. Dyego 89. Enzo 11. Joao Marcos 17. Kaio Nunes 15. Lauro 14. Robinho 29. Stefano Pinho 3. Vanderley 6. Xavier
Substitutes
14. Andre 26. Bruno Boca 31. Caio Monteiro (G) 35. Gabriel Batista 9. Joao Celeri 17. Johnatan Cardoso 8. Locatelli 30. Lucao 32. Rafael Mineiro 33. Renan Cocao 22. Rubinho 12. Samuel Deuner (G)	59. Allyson 19. Felipe Pitaluga 10. Higor Leite 4. Junior Goiano 23. Naves 95. Paulo Meneses 21. Pedrinho 1. Pedro Henrique (G) 9. Renan Gorne 99. Victor Hugo 34. Wellington Carvalho 20. Ze Henrique

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Joao Afonso ↓, Andre ↑,
38', Vanderley 🟨,
45', Lauro 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Ariel 🟨,
63', Lauro ↓, Paulo Meneses ↑,
68', Erick ↓, Johnatan Cardoso ↑,
71', 🟨,
80', 🟨,
80', 1 - 0, Johnatan Cardoso ⚽,
90+2', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Goiano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Goiano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Anápolis won 2.

Anápolis is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aparecidense is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Aparecidense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Anápolis is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Anápolis won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:11 (average 1.5:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Anápolis won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:2 (average 1.4:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anápolis FC
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
02.02.25	ABECAT Ouvidorense - Anápolis	0:2 ✺
29.01.25	Anápolis - Goiânia	4:1 ✺
25.01.25	Anápolis - Goiás	0:1 ✺
22.01.25	Goiatuba - Anápolis	0:1 ✺
19.01.25	Anápolis - Vila Nova	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLWT
- AA Aparecidense
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
06.02.25	Aparecidense - Clube Recreativo e Atlético Catalano	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
04.02.25	Aparecidense - União Rondonópolis	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
02.02.25	Goianésia - Aparecidense	1:1 ✺
29.01.25	Aparecidense - Inhumas	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Goiânia - Aparecidense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
10.03.24	Anápolis - Aparecidense	1:0
03.03.24	Aparecidense - Anápolis	3:0
04.02.24	Anápolis - Aparecidense	4:0
08.02.23	Anápolis - Aparecidense	0:0
13.01.21	Anápolis - Aparecidense	1:1
16.02.20	Aparecidense - Anápolis	1:3
18.03.18	Aparecidense - Anápolis	2:1

Anápolis - Aparecidense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide