The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
ABECAT Ouvidorense 35.4%
Draw 32.5%
Anápolis 32.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.9%
30%
25%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45%
29.9%
24.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ABECAT Ouvidorense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ABECAT Ouvidorense's form might have worsened.
Anápolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Anápolis's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for ABECAT Ouvidorense than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ABECAT Ouvidorense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anápolis than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Anápolis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
ABECAT Ouvidorense - Anápolis Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bruno Pianissolla (C) 4. Douglas Carvalho 11. Emerson Machado 9. Jackson 6. Joao Gabriel 3. Leo Alves 5. Lucas Silva 10. Matheuzinho 2. Pablo 15. Rafinha 18. Uesley Gaucho
1. Paulo Henrique (G) 10. Fernandinho 20. Gabriel Cipriano 8. Gharib 27. Gustavo Henrique 14. Igor Souza 41. Joao Borim 16. Julio Cesar 6. Leonan (C) 5. Lucas Mila 4. Rafael Costa
Substitutes
16. Cleitinho 13. Dionatan 17. Joao Victor 19. Joao Victor 23. Juliano 14. Lazaro 12. Lucas Alves (G) 20. Marcilio 8. Pedro Matielo 22. Pingo 21. Roney 7. Wellington Oliveira
26. Cadu 21. Douglas 9. Gonzalo Fornari 30. Helder 13. Kauan Martins 12. Ravel Pelegrini (G) 28. Samuel 15. Vinicius Lucas 31. Ygor (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
25', 0 - 1, ⚽,
32', 0 - 2, ⚽,
45', 0 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
58', 1 - 3, ⚽,
62', 🟨,
66', 🟨,
76', 🟨,
84', 1 - 4, ⚽,
85', 🟨,
86', 2 - 4, ⚽,
88', 🟥,
Penalties (4 - 1)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
First leg result: 2-0. Second leg.
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Goiano (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Goiano (Play Offs: )).
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Anápolis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Anápolis has had a series of home games.
ABECAT will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ABECAT won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, ABECAT won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).