Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 14

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Jonas Duarte (Anápolis)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Anápolis		Maringá

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.95	3.25	2.10
	2.68	3.15	2.38	Watch
	2.74	3.35	2.54
	3.08	3.33	2.25	Watch
	2.7	3.2	2.4
	2.77	3.48	2.38	Watch
	2.65	3.1	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 (2.8)	3.27 ↑ (3.25)	2.35 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anápolis
32.8%

Draw
28.1%

Maringá
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

27.6%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

26.8%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anápolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Maringá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anápolis than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	28.6%	42.9%

Anápolis - Maringá Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Anápolis will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Maringá will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Anápolis (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Anápolis (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Victor Hugo (G) 13. Carioca 9. Gonzalo Fornari 27. Gustavo Henrique 3. Igor Souza 16. Julio Cesar 10. Juninho 15. Kauan Martins 5. Lucas Mila 20. Luiz Felipe 2. Rubinho	25. Neto (G) 20. Bruno Cheron 99. Caique Calito 7. Edison Negueba 3. Gabriel Santos 2. Gabriel Souza 5. Kelvi Gomes 23. Paulinho 21. Ronald Camarao 6. Thiago Rosa 4. Wendel Lomar
Substitutes
11. Fernandinho 18. Gharib 8. Giva 26. Helder 41. Joao Borim 19. Joao Vitor 29. Jose Henrique 22. Kaik Vicoza 31. Marcio Defendi (G) 12. Ravel Pelegrini (G) 28. Samuel 17. Vitor Fonseca	8. Adeilson 11. Danielzinho 9. Giovane Gomez 10. Guilherme Pira 17. Iago Santana 18. Jhow Alecxander 28. Lucas Bonifacio 77. Rafinha 29. Rai Natalino 12. Romario (G) 30. Ronald Carvalho
Coaches
Fernandes R.	Moises Egert

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Thiago Rosa 🟨,
45+3', Lucas Mila 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lucas Mila ↓, Gharib ↑,
46', Gonzalo Fornari ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
47', Rubinho 🟨,
60', Kelvi Gomes ↓, Lucas Bonifacio ↑,
60', Caique Calito ↓, Giovane Gomez ↑,
63', Edison Negueba 🟨,
63', Kauan Martins 🟨,
67', Bruno Cheron ↓, Guilherme Pira ↑,
67', Edison Negueba ↓, Rafinha ↑,
68', Luiz Felipe ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
71', 0 - 1, Guilherme Pira ⚽,
86', Ronald Camarao ↓, Ronald Carvalho ↑,
90', Rubinho ↓, Kaik Vicoza ↑,
90', Kauan Martins ↓, Joao Borim ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 9).

Anápolis has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Maringá's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Anápolis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Maringá is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Anápolis won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Anápolis won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Maringa FC: 6.99%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anápolis FC
Brazilian Serie C
05.07.26	Anápolis - Botafogo PB	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Caxias - Anápolis	1:1 ✺
20.06.26	Anápolis - Itabaiana	2:0 ✺
13.06.26	Amazonas - Anápolis	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
07.06.26	Paysandu - Anápolis	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTWLL
- Maringá FC
Brazilian Serie C
04.07.26	Maringá - Volta Redonda	4:0 ✺
27.06.26	Internacional de Limeira - Maringá	2:2 ✺
21.06.26	Caxias - Maringá	1:1 ✺
15.06.26	Maringá - Maranhão	0:0 ✺
30.05.26	Botafogo PB - Maringá	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
25.05.25	Anápolis - Maringá	1:1
Brazilian Serie D
15.09.24	Maringá - Anápolis	0:1 penalties
08.09.24	Anápolis - Maringá	1:1

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