Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 12

Date: 30 June 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Francisco Stedile (Caxias do Sul)


	Caxias		Anápolis

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.58	3.40	5.25
	1.63	3.35	5.20	Watch
	1.67	3.45	5.89
	1.67	3.42	5.61	Watch
	1.63	3.25	5.80
	1.60	3.52	5.19	Watch
	1.60	3.35	5.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.5)	3.39 ↓ (3.63)	5.42 ↓ (6.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caxias
56.2%

Draw
26.9%

Anápolis
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

24.9%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

24.2%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Anápolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caxias, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anápolis than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Caxias - Anápolis Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Caxias (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Busatto G. (G) 7. Calyson 2. Felipe Albuquerque 9. Gaspar 5. Grigor 3. Ianson 8. Marcelo Freitas 4. Mauricio Ribeiro (C) 10. Ravanelli 6. Roberto 11. Vitor Feijao	23. Victor Hugo (G) 18. Giva 27. Gustavo Henrique 3. Igor Souza 10. Juninho 17. Kaik Vicoza 13. Kauan Martins 6. Leonan (C) 4. Rafael Costa 21. Rodriguinho 2. Rubinho
Substitutes
15. Breno Santos 20. Felipe Rangel 23. Gabriel Toebe (G) 19. Jhonatan Ribeiro 22. Joao Lucas 21. Luft J. 14. Mancha 12. Marcelo (G) 17. Portela Torres K. C. 16. Victor Sa 18. Vitor Gabriel 13. Windson	11. Fernandinho 9. Gonzalo Fornari 41. Joao Borim 16. Julio Cesar 15. Lucas Kallyel 5. Lucas Mila 20. Luiz Felipe 12. Marcio Defendi (G) 30. Robson Reis
Coaches
Marcelo Cabo	Fernandes R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Ravanelli 🟨,
25', Ravanelli ↓, Joao Lucas ↑,
28', Grigor 🟨,
28', Mauricio Ribeiro 🟨,
39', Kauan Martins 🟨,
45+1', Ianson 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Grigor ↓, Breno Santos ↑,
51', Kaik Vicoza 🟨,
64', Roberto 🟨,
64', Vitor Feijao ↓, Vitor Gabriel ↑,
64', Felipe Albuquerque ↓, Felipe Rangel ↑,
69', Giva ↓, Gonzalo Fornari ↑,
69', Rodriguinho ↓, Lucas Mila ↑,
77', 1 - 0, Felipe Rangel (Penalty Awarded),
79', Roberto ↓, Victor Sa ↑,
80', Leonan 🟨,
81', Kaik Vicoza ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
81', Kauan Martins ↓, Luiz Felipe ↑,
87', Lucas Mila 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 1, Fernandinho ⚽,
90+6', Fernandinho 🟨,
90+6', Juninho ↓, Lucas Kallyel ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Caxias is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Caxias won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Including home match between the teams, Caxias won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SER Caxias do Sul
Brazilian Serie C
21.06.26	Caxias - Maringá	1:1 ✺
13.06.26	Guarani - Caxias	2:1 ✺
30.05.26	Caxias - Ituano	2:1 ✺
23.05.26	Maranhão - Caxias	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Caxias - Paysandu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLWTW
- Anápolis FC
Brazilian Serie C
20.06.26	Anápolis - Itabaiana	2:0 ✺
13.06.26	Amazonas - Anápolis	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
07.06.26	Paysandu - Anápolis	4:0 ✺
04.06.26	Anápolis - Paysandu	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
31.05.26	Anápolis - Maranhão	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
13.07.25	Caxias - Anápolis	1:0

Caxias - Anápolis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide