Match Info

GREECE: GREEK CUP - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 12 January 2023, Thursday

Location: Dimotiko Stadio Polikastro (Polykastro)

Referee: Matsoukas M. (Gre)


	Apollon Pontou		Panserraikos

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.6	3.85	1.5
	6.74	3.41	1.56
	5.8	3.7	1.5
	5.95	3.96	1.54	Watch
	5.8	3.95	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.98 ↑ (4.24)	3.77 ↓ (3.85)	1.52 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Apollon Pontou
15.4%

Draw
24.3%

Panserraikos
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

23.9%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

24.4%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Apollon Pontou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Apollon Pontou's form might have worsened.

Panserraikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Panserraikos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Apollon Pontou than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Apollon Pontou, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panserraikos than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Panserraikos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	7.1%	71.4%

Apollon Pontou - Panserraikos Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Apollon Pontou will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Panserraikos will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Panserraikos: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Apollon Pontou won 2.

Apollon Pontou has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Panserraikos is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Panserraikos is absolute favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Apollon Pontou won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Apollon Pontou won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Apollon Pontou
Greek Super League 2
07.01.23	Panathinaikos B - Apollon Pontou	0:0 ✺
03.01.23	Apollon Pontou - Panserraikos	0:2 ✺
22.12.22	Iraklis - Apollon Pontou	2:0 ✺
19.12.22	Apollon Pontou - Almopos Aridaea	0:1 ✺
Greek Cup
16.12.22	Panserraikos - Apollon Pontou	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TLLLL
- Panserraikos FC
Greek Super League 2
06.01.23	Panserraikos - Anagennisi Karditsa	2:0 ✺
03.01.23	Apollon Pontou - Panserraikos	0:2 ✺
22.12.22	Panserraikos - AEL Larissa	2:1 ✺
19.12.22	Veria - Panserraikos	1:3 ✺
Greek Cup
16.12.22	Panserraikos - Apollon Pontou	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League 2
03.01.23	Apollon Pontou - Panserraikos	0:2
Greek Cup
16.12.22	Panserraikos - Apollon Pontou	3:0
Greek Super League 2
30.03.22	Apollon Pontou - Panserraikos	1:0
29.12.21	Panserraikos - Apollon Pontou	2:4
Greek Football League
20.06.21	Panserraikos - Apollon Pontou	2:0
28.04.21	Apollon Pontou - Panserraikos	0:3
07.03.18	Apollon Pontou - Panserraikos	2:1

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