Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP G - ROUND 13

Date: 27 November 2022, Sunday


	Aprilia		Real Monterotondo

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	2.87
	2.85	3.23	2.25
	2.16	3.1	3.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.05)	3.11 ↑ (2.94)	2.79 ↓ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aprilia
37.8%

Draw
29.4%

Real Monterotondo
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

29.5%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

30%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aprilia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Real Monterotondo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aprilia than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aprilia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Monterotondo than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Monterotondo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs)).

Aprilia is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Real Monterotondo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aprilia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Aprilia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Aprilia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aprilia
Italian Serie D - Group G
20.11.22	Tivoli Calcio - Aprilia	1:1 ✺
13.11.22	Aprilia - Cassino	0:1 ✺
06.11.22	Romana - Aprilia	3:1 ✺
30.10.22	Aprilia - Paganese	0:1 ✺
09.10.22	Nola - Aprilia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLLLT
- Real Monterotondo
Italian Serie D - Group G
20.11.22	Real Monterotondo - Ilvamaddalena	2:0 ✺
13.11.22	Portici - Real Monterotondo	2:3 ✺
05.11.22	Real Monterotondo - Palmese 1914	2:1 ✺
30.10.22	Atletico Uri - Real Monterotondo	2:2 ✺
23.10.22	Real Monterotondo - Angri	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
20.02.22	Aprilia - Real Monterotondo	1:0

Aprilia - Real Monterotondo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide