Match Info

Serie D - Group G - Play Out - Final

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday


	Real Monterotondo		Ilvamaddalena

	1	X	2
	2.6	3	2.45
	2.65	3.2	2.43
	2.64	3.23	2.5
	2.61	3.13	2.46
	2.65	3.2	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.61)	3.15 ↑ (3.13)	2.45 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Monterotondo
34.4%

Draw
28.7%

Ilvamaddalena
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

28.8%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

28.6%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Monterotondo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Ilvamaddalena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Monterotondo than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Ilvamaddalena aligns with the current prediction.

Real Monterotondo - Ilvamaddalena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Menghi M. ⚽,
23', 2 - 0, Napoleoni S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 3 - 0, Menghi M. ⚽,
57', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Real Monterotondo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Monterotondo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Monterotondo
Italian Serie D - Group G
27.04.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Real Monterotondo	1:0 ✺
17.04.25	Real Monterotondo - Ilvamaddalena	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Atletico Uri - Real Monterotondo	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Real Monterotondo - Latte Dolce	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Sarnese - Real Monterotondo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTWWL
- ASD Ilvamaddalena
Italian Serie D - Group G
27.04.25	Ilvamaddalena - Paganese	2:0 ✺
17.04.25	Real Monterotondo - Ilvamaddalena	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Ilvamaddalena - Guidonia Montecelio	0:3 ✺
06.04.25	Cassino - Ilvamaddalena	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Ilvamaddalena - Puteolana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
17.04.25	Real Monterotondo - Ilvamaddalena	1:1
01.04.23	Ilvamaddalena - Real Monterotondo	2:0
20.11.22	Real Monterotondo - Ilvamaddalena	2:0

Real Monterotondo - Ilvamaddalena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide