Match Info

Date: 2 April 2022, Saturday


	Aragua		Zulia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.72	3.3	4.4	Watch
	1.78	3.3	4.1
	1.7	3.4	4.33
	1.83	3.2	4.2
	1.76	3.54	4.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.93)	3.35 ↑ (3.2)	4.32 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aragua
51.7%

Draw
27.2%

Zulia
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

28.6%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

27.6%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aragua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Zulia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aragua than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zulia than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Aragua - Zulia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Copa Sudamericana ~ Play Offs) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aragua won 0.

Recent matches Aragua is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zulia has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Aragua could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Aragua is a favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Aragua won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 27-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Aragua won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aragua FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
26.03.22	Mineros de Guayana - Aragua	0:3 ✺
18.03.22	Aragua - Estudiantes de Mérida	0:1 ✺
10.03.22	Academia Puerto Cabello - Aragua	2:1 ✺
04.03.22	Aragua - Hermanos Colmenares	1:0 ✺
26.02.22	Caracas - Aragua	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLWL
- Zulia FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
24.03.22	Zulia - Deportivo La Guaira	0:2 ✺
19.03.22	Portuguesa Acarígua - Zulia	1:1 ✺
11.03.22	Zulia - Metropolitanos	1:2 ✺
05.03.22	Deportivo Táchira - Zulia	3:0 ✺
27.02.22	Zulia - Deportivo Lara	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
02.10.19	Zulia - Aragua	0:2
09.02.19	Aragua - Zulia	0:0
Copa Venezuela
31.10.18	Zulia - Aragua	1:0
24.10.18	Aragua - Zulia	1:2
Venezuelan Primera Division
21.10.18	Aragua - Zulia	0:2
13.05.18	Zulia - Aragua	2:4
27.08.17	Zulia - Aragua	2:0

Aragua - Zulia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide