Match Info

Copa Venezuela - Round 1

Date: 24 June 2026, Wednesday


	Caracas		Aragua

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.75	6.00
	1.48	3.90	6.30
	1.48	3.83	6.65
	1.48	4.05	6.86	Watch
	1.44	3.50	6.50
	1.45	3.70	7.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.49)	3.79 ↑ (3.6)	6.56 ↓ (7.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caracas
62.1%

Draw
24%

Aragua
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

25.5%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

24.7%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Aragua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aragua than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Caracas - Aragua Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 1 - 0, Robert Hernandez ⚽,
62', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caracas won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Caracas is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Caracas won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Caracas won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:6. (average 1.5:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caracas FC
Copa Sudamericana
27.05.26	Caracas - Botafogo RJ	1:3 ✺
21.05.26	Racing - Caracas	2:2 ✺
05.05.26	Independiente Petroleros - Caracas	2:3 ✺
29.04.26	Caracas - Racing	1:1 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
25.04.26	Caracas - Rayo Zuliano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.2 LTWTW
- Aragua FC
Venezuelan Segunda Division
06.06.26	Aragua - Monagas B	1:2 ✺
31.05.26	Dynamo Puerto - Aragua	1:2 ✺
23.05.26	Aragua - Mineros de Guayana	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	Marítimo de La Guaira - Aragua	0:0 ✺
09.05.26	Aragua - Atletico Avila	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Venezuela
25.06.25	Caracas - Aragua	4:0
18.06.25	Aragua - Caracas	2:1
Venezuelan Primera Division
18.09.22	Aragua - Caracas	4:2
26.02.22	Caracas - Aragua	1:0
08.12.20	Aragua - Caracas	0:0
12.11.20	Caracas - Aragua	0:1
06.03.20	Aragua - Caracas	0:1

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