Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 28

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday


	Aravaca		México

	1	X	2
	2.35	3	2.75
	2.41	3	2.85
	2.52	3.02	2.62
	2.41	3	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.25)	3.01 ↓ (3.25)	2.77 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aravaca
37.3%

Draw
30.1%

México
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

28%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

27.8%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aravaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

México has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aravaca than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for México than the current prediction. (-1%)

Aravaca - México Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 0, ⚽,
85', 🟥,
90+8', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 14 and 12).

Aravaca is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches México is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aravaca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Aravaca won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aravaca CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
23.03.25	Parla - Aravaca	1:2 ✺
16.03.25	Aravaca - Villaverde San Andrés	0:4 ✺
09.03.25	Las Rozas - Aravaca	3:1 ✺
02.03.25	Aravaca - Canillas	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Alcorcón B - Aravaca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLLL
- México FC Spain
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
23.03.25	Cala Pozuelo - México	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	México - Parla	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	Villaverde San Andrés - México	1:2 ✺
01.03.25	México - Las Rozas	0:0 ✺
23.02.25	Canillas - México	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
16.11.24	México - Aravaca	2:1

Aravaca - México: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide