Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 26

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday


	Aravaca		Villaverde San Andrés

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.2	2.3
	2.75	3.25	2.33
	2.7	3.47	2.33	Watch
	2.69	3.3	2.3
	2.75	3.25	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (3.47)	3.29 ↓ (3.4)	2.32 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aravaca
33.4%

Draw
27.5%

Villaverde San Andrés
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

26.7%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

26%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aravaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aravaca's performance.

Villaverde San Andrés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villaverde San Andrés might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aravaca than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aravaca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villaverde San Andrés than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villaverde San Andrés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aravaca - Villaverde San Andrés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, ⚽,
30', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
64', 0 - 3, ⚽,
76', 0 - 4, ⚽,
90', 🟥,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 7).

Aravaca is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Villaverde is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Aravaca won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aravaca CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
09.03.25	Las Rozas - Aravaca	3:1 ✺
02.03.25	Aravaca - Canillas	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Alcorcón B - Aravaca	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Aravaca - Torrejón	3:1 ✺
09.02.25	Alcalá - Aravaca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWL
- Villaverde San Andrés
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
09.03.25	Villaverde San Andrés - México	1:2 ✺
02.03.25	Parla - Villaverde San Andrés	2:3 ✺
23.02.25	Cala Pozuelo - Villaverde San Andrés	0:0 ✺
16.02.25	Villaverde San Andrés - Las Rozas	3:0 ✺
09.02.25	Canillas - Villaverde San Andrés	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
03.11.24	Villaverde San Andrés - Aravaca	2:0

Aravaca - Villaverde San Andrés: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide