Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 20

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday


	Aravaca		Rayo Vallecano B

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.4
	2.6	3.2	2.45
	2.7	3.07	2.45
	2.66	3.25	2.47
	2.57	3.3	2.4
	2.6	3.2	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (3.84)	3.19 ↓ (3.4)	2.44 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aravaca
34.6%

Draw
28.4%

Rayo Vallecano B
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

26.6%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

26%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aravaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aravaca's performance.

Rayo Vallecano B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rayo Vallecano B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aravaca than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aravaca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano B than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rayo Vallecano B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aravaca - Rayo Vallecano B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Eto'o E. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, ⚽,
39', 1 - 2, Baladia A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', 1 - 3, de las Sias M. ⚽,
71', 1 - 4, Eto'o E. ⚽,
76', 1 - 5, Becerra S. ⚽,
80', 2 - 5, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aravaca CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
26.01.25	Leganés B - Aravaca	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Aravaca - Tres Cantos	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Aravaca - Carabanchel	1:1 ✺
21.12.24	El Álamo - Aravaca	1:0 ✺
15.12.24	Aravaca - Collado Villalba	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTTLT
- Rayo Vallecano B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
25.01.25	Rayo Vallecano B - México	4:1 ✺
19.01.25	Parla - Rayo Vallecano B	1:2 ✺
12.01.25	Villaverde San Andrés - Rayo Vallecano B	2:2 ✺
22.12.24	Rayo Vallecano B - Las Rozas	3:2 ✺
15.12.24	Canillas - Rayo Vallecano B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
22.09.24	Rayo Vallecano B - Aravaca	1:1

Aravaca - Rayo Vallecano B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide