Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 21

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday


	Canillas		Villaverde San Andrés

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.7	1.66
	3.7	3.95	1.73
	3.22	4.4	1.76
	3.6	4.2	1.75	Watch
	3.93	3.82	1.81
	3.7	3.95	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↓ (7.9)	4 ↓ (4.6)	1.74 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canillas
24.6%

Draw
22.8%

Villaverde San Andrés
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.5%

19.7%

68.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11%

18.9%

71.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canillas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Canillas's performance.

Villaverde San Andrés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villaverde San Andrés might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canillas than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Canillas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villaverde San Andrés than the current prediction. (+19.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villaverde San Andrés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Canillas - Villaverde San Andrés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Canillas has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Villaverde is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Villaverde is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Canillas won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Canillas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Canillas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
02.02.25	Las Rozas - Canillas	3:2 ✺
26.01.25	Cala Pozuelo - Canillas	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Canillas - Alcorcón B	1:2 ✺
12.01.25	Canillas - Torrejón	2:3 ✺
21.12.24	Alcalá - Canillas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLLLT
- Villaverde San Andrés
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
02.02.25	Villaverde San Andrés - Alcorcón B	2:0 ✺
26.01.25	Torrejón - Villaverde San Andrés	1:2 ✺
19.01.25	Villaverde San Andrés - Alcalá	0:1 ✺
12.01.25	Villaverde San Andrés - Rayo Vallecano B	2:2 ✺
21.12.24	Leganés B - Villaverde San Andrés	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
29.09.24	Villaverde San Andrés - Canillas	2:2
31.03.19	Villaverde San Andrés - Canillas	0:0
11.11.18	Canillas - Villaverde San Andrés	0:1

Canillas - Villaverde San Andrés: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide