Match Info

ALGERIA: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 30

Date: 15 July 2023, Saturday


	Arbaâ		Paradou

	1	X	2
	2	3.25	3.3
	2.21	3.31	3.23
	2.15	3.1	3.25
	2.14	3.36	3.22
	2.16	3.35	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.44)	3.27 ↑ (3.13)	3.23 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arbaâ
43.3%

Draw
28.2%

Paradou
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

29.7%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

30.1%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arbaâ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arbaâ's performance.

Paradou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arbaâ than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paradou than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.6%	5.7%	3.8%

Arbaâ - Paradou Predictions

Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Arbaâ will win (votes: 48 - 90.6%). Paradou will win (votes: 2 - 3.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 5.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arbaâ: 82.7% – 98.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 12).

Recent matches Arbaâ is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paradou in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Arbaâ is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Arbaâ won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Arbaâ won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arbaâ
Algerian Ligue 1
10.07.23	Chelghoum - Arbaâ	0:3 ✺
07.07.23	Arbaâ - Kabylie	1:1 ✺
04.07.23	Khenchela - Arbaâ	2:1 ✺
01.07.23	Arbaâ - USM Alger	2:1 ✺
06.06.23	Constantine - Arbaâ	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTLWL
- Paradou AC
Algerian Ligue 1
10.07.23	Paradou - Biskra	2:1 ✺
07.07.23	Saoura - Paradou	0:1 ✺
04.07.23	Paradou - MC Alger	1:0 ✺
01.07.23	ES Sétif - Paradou	0:0 ✺
06.06.23	Paradou - Oran	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
24.12.22	Paradou - Arbaâ	1:1
06.05.22	Arbaâ - Paradou	3:1
07.01.22	Paradou - Arbaâ	1:2

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