The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arcángel San Miguel 22.1%
Draw 28.2%
UD San Fernando 49.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.4%
28.1%
49.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.8%
27.4%
50.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arcángel San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
UD San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arcángel San Miguel than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (+1%)
Arcángel San Miguel - UD San Fernando Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
13', 1 - 0, ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Serbourdin S. ⚽,
40', 1 - 2, Martel J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
79', Quintero F. 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )).
San Miguel has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
UD San Fernando is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
UD San Fernando may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, UD San Fernando has had a series of home games.
In this match, UD San Fernando is considered a favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, San Miguel won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).
Including home match between the teams, San Miguel won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
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