Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 26

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	UD San Fernando		Atlético Paso

	1	X	2
	2.18	3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 (2.18)	3 (3)	3.2 (3.2)

The best margin for this event is 10.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD San Fernando
41.5%

Draw
30.2%

Atlético Paso
28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

28.5%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for UD San Fernando have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Atlético Paso have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Paso than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Corral S. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Velicias A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

UD San Fernando is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Atlético Paso is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Atlético Paso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, UD San Fernando has had a series of home games.

UD San Fernando could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UD San Fernando won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, UD San Fernando won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	San Fernando	4	3	0	1	11:2	9	9

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Paso - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 28.29%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD San Fernando
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
04.03.26	UD San Fernando - Panadería Pulido	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	UD San Fernando - Real Unión	1:0 ✺
25.02.26	UD San Fernando - Marino	1:0 ✺
20.02.26	Tamaraceite - UD San Fernando	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	UD San Fernando - Herbania	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWWW
- Atlético Paso
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
08.03.26	Atlético Paso - Arucas	3:0 ✺
14.02.26	Arcángel San Miguel - Atlético Paso	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Atlético Paso - Tenisca	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Real Unión - Atlético Paso	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Atlético Paso - Tamaraceite	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
02.11.25	Atlético Paso - UD San Fernando	3:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
31.03.24	Atlético Paso - UD San Fernando	1:1
19.11.23	UD San Fernando - Atlético Paso	0:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
19.05.21	UD San Fernando - Atlético Paso	2:1
24.11.19	UD San Fernando - Atlético Paso	1:1

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