Match Info

efbet League - Round 26

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday

Location: Arena Arda (Kardzhali)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra


	Arda Kardzhali		Dobrudzha Dobrich

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.25	6.25	Watch
	1.68	3.2	5.5
	1.69	3.38	6.4
	1.81	3.03	5.52
	1.62	3.1	5.75
	1.65	3.29	6.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.71)	3.21 ↑ (3.16)	5.97 ↑ (5.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arda Kardzhali
55.4%

Draw
29%

Dobrudzha Dobrich
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

29.1%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

27.5%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arda Kardzhali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Dobrudzha Dobrich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arda Kardzhali than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dobrudzha Dobrich than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.7%	17.6%	17.6%

Arda Kardzhali - Dobrudzha Dobrich Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Arda will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Dobrudzha Dobrich will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arda: 42% – 87.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Arda (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gospodinov A. (C) 2. Gustavo Cascardo 93. Eboa F. 23. Viyachki E. 21. Velev V. 4. Idowu D. 80. Kotev L. 99. Karagaren B. 20. Yusein S. 8. Kabov A. 30. Samake W.	1. Argilashki G. (G) 15. Kostov B. 22. Cuero J. 72. Oliveira V. 37. Kerchev V. (C) 23. Fall M. 7. Ivanov A. 10. Costa Silva T. 27. Triki M. 99. Trifonov G. 98. Mihaylov I.
Substitutes
26. Akandzha B. 18. Huseynov C. 10. Kovachev S. 6. Krachunov P. 12. Nedelchev I. (G) 24. Paskalev M. 17. Patrick Luan 39. Vutov A. 92. Yusuf M. (G)	8. Angelov A. 45. Hasan D. 35. Lovric D. 88. Madaleno D. 77. Matheus Leoni 69. Pepelyashev P. (G) 3. Pirgov D. 20. Ramadan A. 9. Valdumar
Coaches
Tunchev A.	Petrov Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', Idowu D. 🟥,
29', Costa Silva T. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Samake W. ⚽,
36', Karagaren B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fall M. ↓, Angelov A. ↑,
61', 2 - 0, Karagaren B. ⚽, Kotev L. (A),
65', Trifonov G. ↓, Valdumar ↑,
65', Oliveira V. ↓, Matheus Leoni ↑,
68', Triki M. 🟨,
70', Kabov A. ↓, Kovachev S. ↑,
72', Triki M. ↓, Ramadan A. ↑,
75', Samake W. ↓, Patrick Luan ↑,
75', Yusein S. ↓, Huseynov C. ↑,
86', Karagaren B. ↓, Paskalev M. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).

Recent performances by Arda have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dobrudzha Dobrich is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Arda is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Arda won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 1.7:0).

Including home match between the teams, Arda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Outrights of Bulgarian Parva Liga for now

Arda: 1.24%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Arda	10	5	2	3	15:12	3	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arda Kardzhali
Bulgarian Parva Liga
07.03.26	Botev Vratsa - Arda Kardzhali	1:0 ✺
04.03.26	Cherno More Varna - Arda Kardzhali	0:0 ✺
27.02.26	Arda Kardzhali - Spartak Varna	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Beroe Stara Zagora - Arda Kardzhali	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Arda Kardzhali - Slavia Sofia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTWTW
- PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich
Bulgarian Parva Liga
08.03.26	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Beroe Stara Zagora	1:0 ✺
05.03.26	Lokomotiv Sofia - Dobrudzha Dobrich	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Cherno More Varna	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Montana	1:0 ✺
16.02.26	Botev Vratsa - Dobrudzha Dobrich	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
05.10.25	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Arda Kardzhali	0:2
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
26.04.19	Arda Kardzhali - Dobrudzha Dobrich	1:0
21.10.18	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Arda Kardzhali	0:2

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