The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cherno More Varna 35.9%
Draw 29.5%
Arda Kardzhali 34.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.1%
29.3%
36.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.1%
31.1%
38.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cherno More Varna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Arda Kardzhali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cherno More Varna than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arda Kardzhali than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
62.5%
25%
Cherno More Varna - Arda Kardzhali Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Cherno More will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Arda will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% โ 96%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
81. Tomov K. (G) 50. Tombak E. 4. Stefanov R. 28. Drobarov V. 15. Martin D. 10. Chandarov A. 24. Teles D. 8. Donchev A. 71. Panayotov V. (C) 39. Zlatev N. 19. Lazarov G.
1. Gospodinov A. (C) 21. Velev V. 93. Eboa F. 6. Krachunov P. 35. Velkovski D. 80. Kotev L. 18. Huseynov C. 99. Karagaren B. 39. Vutov A. 11. Shinyashiki A. 30. Samake W.
Substitutes
29. Beyhan B. 16. Calcan A. 26. Joao Bandaro 22. Kostadinov N. 70. Manasiev A. (G) 34. Mihaylov K. 13. Nyagolov E. 77. Sidney C. 93. Ventsislavov G.
26. Akandzha B. 2. Gustavo Cascardo 4. Idowu D. 24. Paskalev M. 17. Patrick Luan 23. Viyachki E. 20. Yusein S. 92. Yusuf M. (G)
Coaches
Iliev I.
Tunchev A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Donchev A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', 1 - 1, Karagaren B. ⚽,
53', 1 - 2, Karagaren B. ⚽,
56', 2 - 2, Teles D. ⚽,
58', Shinyashiki A. 🟨,
59', Donchev A. 🟨,
63', Huseynov C. ↓, Yusein S. ↑,
64', Samake W. ↓, Patrick Luan ↑,
68', Teles D. ↓, Beyhan B. ↑,
69', Lazarov G. ↓, Sidney C. ↑,
72', 2 - 3, Yusein S. ⚽,
78', Shinyashiki A. ↓, Gustavo Cascardo ↑,
78', Vutov A. ↓, Idowu D. ↑,
78', Zlatev N. ↓, Calcan A. ↑,
90+1', Karagaren B. ↓, Viyachki E. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cherno More won 1.
Cherno More is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Arda has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cherno More won 6 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Cherno More won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1:0.7).
Bulgaria
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Tomov K. (G) 
Drobarov V. 
Martin D. 
Teles D. 
Velev V. 
Eboa F. 
Huseynov C. 
Shinyashiki A. 
Samake W. 
Calcan A. 
Idowu D. 
