Match Info

Super League - Round 5

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Kanjuruhan Stadium (Malang)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Vidio


	Arema		Dewa United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	3.3	2.25
	2.62	3.25	2.35
	2.87	3.53	2.38
	6.02	4.21	1.49	Watch
	2.72	3.38	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (2.49)	3.53 ↑ (3.42)	2.19 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arema
28.6%

Draw
27.3%

Dewa United
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

27.1%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arema's form might have worsened.

Dewa United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dewa United's recent form is better than expected.

Arema - Dewa United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Arema (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Lucas Frigeri (G) 72. Setiawan B. 5. Yann Motta 26. Luiz Gustavo 87. Farisi A. (C) 8. Fikri A. 25. Matheus Blade 13. Balinsa S. G. 21. Puleio I. 94. Dalberto 9. Paulinho Moccelin	92. Stevens S. (G) 97. Febriansyah E. 2. Kuipers N. 14. Fatari B. 12. Nurviat R. 28. Messidoro A. 8. Jaja 19. Kambuaya R. (C) 5. Lilipaly S. 39. Alex 11. Marukawa T.
Substitutes
16. Agusti A. 15. Arjidan F. 95. Casvari A. (G) 6. Guevara J. 14. Hariono J. 96. Iksan M. 12. Marasabessy M. 4. Odivan 23. Rifai M. 41. Santoso D. 27. Setiawan D. 11. Tuharea S.	20. Bagaskara S. 37. Ballah A. 41. Cassio Scheid 7. Eka F. 1. Natshir M. (G) 6. Numberi T. 3. Prasetyo W. 16. Rizky K. 23. Setiawan A. 10. Vikri E.
Coaches
Marquinhos S.	Riekerink J. O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Alex ⚽, Lilipaly S. (A),
19', Luiz Gustavo 🟨,
45', Jaja 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Nurviat R. ↓, Prasetyo W. ↑,
60', Balinsa S. G. ↓, Tuharea S. ↑,
63', Kuipers N. 🟨,
67', Lilipaly S. ↓, Vikri E. ↑,
68', Fatari B. 🟨,
77', 0 - 2, Marukawa T. ⚽, Messidoro A. (A),
83', Kambuaya R. ↓, Cassio Scheid ↑,
84', Farisi A. ↓, Iksan M. ↑,
84', Puleio I. ↓, Arjidan F. ↑,
85', Yann Motta 🟨,
90+7', 1 - 2, Dalberto ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arema won 1.

Dewa United's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Arema may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Arema won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Arema won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Arema - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.12%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arema FC
Indonesian Super League
30.08.25	Persijap Jepara - Arema	0:0 ✺
22.08.25	Arema - Bhayangkara	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	PSIM Yogyakarta - Arema	1:1 ✺
11.08.25	Arema - PSBS Biak Numfor	4:1 ✺
Indonesian President Cup
10.07.25	Arema - Oxford United	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWTWL
- Dewa United
Indonesian Super League
29.08.25	Dewa United - Persija Jakarta	1:3 ✺
22.08.25	Dewa United - Persik Kediri	3:1 ✺
15.08.25	Semen Padang - Dewa United	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Dewa United - Java United	1:3 ✺
Indonesian President Cup
12.07.25	Liga 1 All-Stars - Dewa United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
11.01.25	Dewa United - Arema	2:0
12.08.24	Arema - Dewa United	0:0
02.11.23	Arema - Dewa United	2:1
02.07.23	Dewa United - Arema	1:0
10.03.23	Arema - Dewa United	0:0
07.12.22	Dewa United - Arema	0:2

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