Match Info

Super League - Round 24

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday

Location: Kanjuruhan Stadium (Malang)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Indosiar, Vidio


	Arema		Bali United Pusam

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3.25	3	Watch
	2.2	3.69	3.13
	2.15	3.51	3.14	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3
	2.08	3.34	3.11
	1.95	3.5	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.91)	3.43 ↓ (3.61)	3.15 ↓ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arema
43.9%

Draw
26.8%

Bali United Pusam
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

25.8%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

25.8%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Bali United Pusam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arema than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bali United Pusam than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Arema - Bali United Pusam Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Arema will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Bali United will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bali United (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Pandenuwu G. (G) 2. Fahmi R. 6. Guevara J. (C) 66. Yama H. 96. Iksan M. 77. Gustavo Franca 32. Pablo Oliveira 28. Betinho 7. Gabriel Silva 9. Joel Vinicius 94. Dalberto	1. Hauptmeijer M. (G) 14. Receveur T. 2. Ferrari J. 4. Arel K. 24. Fajrin R. (C) 7. Goppel T. 17. Yachida T. 18. Kadek Agung 41. Jaya I. 9. Kopitovic B. 99. Campos D.
Substitutes
13. Balinsa S. G. 87. Farisi A. 8. Fikri A. 4. Guntara L. 14. Hariono J. 31. Lucas Frigeri (G) 17. Mardiyanto D. 23. Rifai M. 41. Santoso D. 27. Setiawan D. 11. Tuharea S. 10. Valdeci	5. Adi B. 92. Barusu R. 55. Made T. 93. Mahendra A. 77. Meilana Y. 91. Rahmat 19. Raven J. 16. Rizky Dwi 95. Rustapa F. (G) 79. Sanjaya A. 42. Simon M. 21. Wayan Arta (G)
Coaches
Marquinhos S.	Jansen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', Yama H. 🟨,
22', 0 - 1, Yachida T. ⚽, Campos D. (A),
26', Campos D. 🟨,
28', 0 - 2, Campos D. ⚽, Kadek Agung (A),
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Iksan M. ↓, Farisi A. ↑,
46', Pablo Oliveira ↓, Valdeci ↑,
46', Campos D. ↓, Rizky Dwi ↑,
64', 1 - 2, Dalberto ⚽, Fahmi R. (A),
66', 1 - 3, Yachida T. ⚽, Jaya I. (A),
69', Rizky Dwi ↓, Meilana Y. ↑,
69', Jaya I. ↓, Adi B. ↑,
74', Gabriel Silva ↓, Tuharea S. ↑,
78', 2 - 3, Dalberto (Penalty Awarded),
85', Yachida T. ↓, Made T. ↑,
86', Farisi A. 🟨,
90+1', Goppel T. ↓, Simon M. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 4, Betinho (Own goal),
90+5', 3 - 4, Dalberto ⚽,
90+6', Yama H. ↓, Mardiyanto D. ↑,
90+6', Gustavo Franca ↓, Setiawan D. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arema won 2.

Arema is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bali United has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Bali United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Arema will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Arema won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:27. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Arema won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Bali United	4	3	0	1	12:4	8	9
8	Arema FC	4	1	3	0	10:6	4	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arema FC
Indonesian Super League
26.02.26	Borneo Samarinda - Arema	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Madura United - Arema	2:2 ✺
15.02.26	Arema - Semen Padang	3:0 ✺
08.02.26	Persija Jakarta - Arema	0:2 ✺
02.02.26	Arema - Persijap Jepara	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LTWWW
- Bali United Pusam FC
Indonesian Super League
28.02.26	Bali United Pusam - Persijap Jepara	0:0 ✺
23.02.26	PSIM Yogyakarta - Bali United Pusam	3:3 ✺
15.02.26	Bali United Pusam - Persija Jakarta	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Bali United Pusam - Persebaya Surabaya	1:3 ✺
30.01.26	Persik Kediri - Bali United Pusam	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
04.01.26	Bali United Pusam - Arema	1:0
03.02.25	Arema - Bali United Pusam	1:0
11.09.24	Bali United Pusam - Arema	0:0
Indonesian President Cup
21.07.24	Bali United Pusam - Arema	0:1
Indonesian Super League
04.12.23	Bali United Pusam - Arema	3:2
21.07.23	Arema - Bali United Pusam	1:3
27.03.23	Arema - Bali United Pusam	1:3

Arema - Bali United Pusam: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide