Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Arenas Armilla		Melilla B

	1	X	2
	1.88	3	4.05
	1.95	3.00	4.24	Watch
	1.9	2.94	4.25
	1.84	3.1	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.87)	3.01 ↓ (3.1)	4.24 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arenas Armilla
48.2%

Draw
30.3%

Melilla B
21.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.5%

29.3%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

30.3%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenas Armilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Melilla B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Armilla than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

The ML Model estimate for Melilla B aligns with the current prediction.

Arenas Armilla - Melilla B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Garcia M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: ) and 10).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Melilla B has had a series of away games.

In this match, Arenas Armilla is a strong favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arenas Armilla
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
08.11.25	Martos - Arenas Armilla	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Arenas Armilla - Mijas-Las Lagunas	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Marbellí - Arenas Armilla	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Arenas Armilla - Mancha Real	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	Arenas Armilla - Motril	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTLTL
- UD Melilla B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
02.11.25	Torreperogil - Melilla B	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Melilla B - Atlético Porcuna	4:2 ✺
19.10.25	Torre Del Mar - Melilla B	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	UD San Pedro - Melilla B	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Torredonjimeno - Melilla B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TWLWT

Arenas Armilla - Melilla B

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Arenas Armilla - Melilla B Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

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