Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 9

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Arenas Armilla		Mijas-Las Lagunas

	1	X	2
	2.58	2.72	2.82
	2.56	2.76	2.78
	2.56	2.76	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.56)	2.75 ↓ (2.76)	2.83 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arenas Armilla
35.2%

Draw
32.9%

Mijas-Las Lagunas
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

32.9%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

34.2%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenas Armilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Mijas-Las Lagunas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Armilla than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mijas-Las Lagunas than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Arenas Armilla - Mijas Las Lagunas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Aguilar Rosello P. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: )).

Recent performances by Arenas Armilla have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mijas-Las Lagunas is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arenas Armilla won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arenas Armilla
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
26.10.25	Marbellí - Arenas Armilla	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Arenas Armilla - Mancha Real	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	Arenas Armilla - Motril	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Arenas Armilla - Torreperogil	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Atlético Porcuna - Arenas Armilla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTLWW
- CP Mijas-Las Lagunas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
25.10.25	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Churriana de la Vega	4:0 ✺
19.10.25	Torreperogil - Mijas-Las Lagunas	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Atlético Porcuna	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Torre Del Mar - Mijas-Las Lagunas	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Mijas-Las Lagunas - El Palo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
02.02.25	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Arenas Armilla	0:0

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