Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 15

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	Arenas Armilla		Torredonjimeno

	1	X	2
	2.22	2.82	3.25
	2.22	2.86	3.36
	2.25	2.88	3.39	Watch
	2.25	2.82	3.32
	2.14	3	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.14)	2.88 ↓ (3.05)	3.33 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arenas Armilla
41.1%

Draw
31.6%

Torredonjimeno
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

29.9%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

28.9%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenas Armilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Torredonjimeno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Armilla than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torredonjimeno than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Arenas Armilla - Torredonjimeno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', 0 - 1, ⚽,
50', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: ) and 7)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arenas Armilla won 2.

Arenas Armilla is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Torredonjimeno has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Arenas Armilla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Arenas Armilla could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Arenas Armilla won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Arenas Armilla won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arenas Armilla
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
14.12.25	Granada B - Arenas Armilla	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Arenas Armilla - Huétor Vega	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Huétor Tájar - Arenas Armilla	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Arenas Armilla - Melilla B	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Martos - Arenas Armilla	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TWTWW
- UD Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
07.12.25	Torreperogil - Torredonjimeno	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Torredonjimeno - Atlético Porcuna	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Torre Del Mar - Torredonjimeno	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Torredonjimeno - El Palo	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	UD San Pedro - Torredonjimeno	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
12.04.25	Arenas Armilla - Torredonjimeno	1:1
01.12.24	Torredonjimeno - Arenas Armilla	1:0
31.03.24	Arenas Armilla - Torredonjimeno	2:1
12.11.23	Torredonjimeno - Arenas Armilla	0:2
15.01.23	Torredonjimeno - Arenas Armilla	3:2
18.09.22	Arenas Armilla - Torredonjimeno	1:1

Arenas Armilla - Torredonjimeno: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide