Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 17

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Arenas Armilla		UD San Pedro

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.4	5.35
	1.58	3.49	5.94	Watch
	1.65	3.1	5.5
	1.68	3.56	5.23
	1.64	3.5	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.87)	3.41 ↑ (3.15)	5.45 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arenas Armilla
56.3%

Draw
26.9%

UD San Pedro
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

29%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

28.9%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenas Armilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arenas Armilla's performance.

UD San Pedro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UD San Pedro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenas Armilla than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arenas Armilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD San Pedro than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UD San Pedro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arenas Armilla - UD San Pedro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Aguilar Rosello P. ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, Aguilar Rosello P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 12).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Arenas Armilla is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Arenas Armilla	5	3	2	0	8:4	4	11
7	UD San Pedro	5	3	0	2	7:8	-1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arenas Armilla
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
20.12.25	Arenas Armilla - Torredonjimeno	0:2 ✺
14.12.25	Granada B - Arenas Armilla	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Arenas Armilla - Huétor Vega	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Huétor Tájar - Arenas Armilla	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Arenas Armilla - Melilla B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTWTW
- UD San Pedro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
20.12.25	Torreperogil - UD San Pedro	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	UD San Pedro - Atlético Porcuna	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Torre Del Mar - UD San Pedro	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	UD San Pedro - El Palo	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Motril - UD San Pedro	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWLWT

Arenas Armilla - UD San Pedro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide