Match Info

NORWAY: NM Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 May 2024, Wednesday

Location: Norac stadion (Arendal)


	Arendal		Bryne

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.5	2.15
	2.8	3.4	2.1
	2.9	3.6	2.15
	2.93	3.6	2.23
	2.92	3.4	2.23
	2.88	3.5	2.1
	2.99	3.64	2.19
	2.85	3.55	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (3.89)	3.52 ↓ (3.94)	2.17 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arendal
31.8%

Draw
26%

Bryne
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

23.2%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

23.7%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arendal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arendal's performance.

Bryne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bryne might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arendal than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arendal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bryne than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bryne could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Arendal - Bryne Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Arendal will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Bryne will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Smedplass A. (G) 5. Andersen S. 4. Bergan V. 3. Lereng E. 2. Hultqvist D. (C) 23. Ness T. 16. Helgesen E. 13. Maric A. 11. Alemseged A. 10. Kvinge M. 7. Williams J.	1. Cajtoft A. (G) 2. Gorlich L. 19. Hermansen I. 20. Norheim S. (C) 21. Vik I. 32. Jonassen S. T. 6. Mneney N. 4. Landu-Landu Ch. 7. Gronli S. 23. Haland K. 17. Arsvoll E. I.
Substitutes
20. Basic A. 14. Haga M. 19. Ibishi D. 9. Lille-Lovo S. 17. Nersveen P. 6. Pllana R. 27. Skjaevestad B. (G)	12. Bergene S. (G) 8. Dybevik A. 5. Haahr J. 24. Husebo J. 18. Moreira D. 14. Saunes E. 11. Scriven A. 15. Tveita J. 10. Undheim R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', Hermansen I. 🟨,
12', 0 - 1, Jonassen S. T. ⚽, Arsvoll E. I. (A),
16', Gronli S. ↓, Dybevik A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hermansen I. ↓, Husebo J. ↑,
47', Williams J. 🟨,
63', Gorlich L. 🟨,
65', Arsvoll E. I. 🟨,
68', Maric A. ↓, Haga M. ↑,
68', Williams J. ↓, Nersveen P. ↑,
68', Arsvoll E. I. ↓, Scriven A. ↑,
73', Alemseged A. ↓, Lille-Lovo S. ↑,
83', Andersen S. ↓, Ibishi D. ↑,
83', Ness T. ↓, Basic A. ↑,
86', Jonassen S. T. ↓, Undheim R. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arendal won 1.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Arendal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bryne will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Arendal won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Arendal won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arendal Fotball
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
28.04.24	Arendal - Ørn-Horten	1:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.24	Fram Larvik - Arendal	0:3 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
20.04.24	Lysekloster - Arendal	2:1 ✺
14.04.24	Arendal - Flekkerøy	2:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
10.04.24	IL Express - Arendal	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLWW
- Bryne FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
27.04.24	Bryne - Sogndal	1:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.24	Mandalskameratene - Bryne	0:7 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
20.04.24	Raufoss - Bryne	0:1 ✺
15.04.24	Bryne - Levanger	0:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
11.04.24	Forus og Gausel - Bryne	0:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
14.11.20	Arendal - Bryne	3:3
15.08.20	Arendal - Bryne	1:1
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
01.09.19	Bryne - Arendal	2:1
26.05.19	Arendal - Bryne	2:1
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
07.10.18	Bryne - Arendal	3:0
17.06.18	Arendal - Bryne	1:1

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