Match Info

Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 7

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Norac stadion (Arendal)


	Arendal		Jerv

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.6	2.02
	3.04	4.1	2.06
	4.1	4.26	1.69	Watch
	3.1	3.3	1.95
	3.11	3.52	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (2.77)	3.76 ↓ (3.81)	1.95 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arendal
28.1%

Draw
24.6%

Jerv
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

24.4%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

23.5%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arendal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arendal's form might have worsened.

Jerv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jerv's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arendal than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerv than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Arendal - Jerv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Smedplass A. (G) 15. Curic A. 9. Dvergsdal T. 2. Eriksen S. 27. Nundal J. 18. Nygaard S. 5. Olsson T. 4. Osnes H. 14. Rodeblad Lowe K. 17. Suggelia H. 8. Trengereid M. (C)	23. Agelin T. 77. Alanko S. 15. Almen M. (C) 16. Andersen D. 11. Badjie K. 3. Hultqvist D. 22. Kolve E. 17. Nordbo S. 19. Strand H. 7. Syvertsen P. 10. Wenaas V.
Substitutes
21. Eriksen F. 16. Helgesen E. 19. Ibishi D. 22. Mang-Thang F. 25. Nilsen A. E. 13. Ostbo S. (G) 20. Osterud A. 7. Skjold A. 11. Victorio M.	25. Abusdal I. 1. Angelini V. (G) 5. Lillehammer F. 6. Naustdal B. 40. Osestad S. 18. Richstad A. 4. Sanchez J. 9. Simba P. 21. Strangstad S. 42. Syvertsen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Dvergsdal T. ⚽,
21', Hultqvist D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Badjie K. ↓, Syvertsen M. ↑,
46', Wenaas V. ↓, Richstad A. ↑,
46', Hultqvist D. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Alanko S. ⚽,
53', Richstad A. 🟨,
57', Rodeblad Lowe K. ↓, Ibishi D. ↑,
59', Agelin T. 🟨,
65', Nundal J. ↓, Osterud A. ↑,
65', Trengereid M. ↓, Nilsen A. E. ↑,
75', Alanko S. ↓, Simba P. ↑,
77', Nygaard S. 🟨,
87', Kolve E. ↓, Abusdal I. ↑,
90', Nygaard S. ↓, Skjold A. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 2, Nordbo S. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arendal won 2.

Recent form of Arendal has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Jerv is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Jerv will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Arendal won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:26. (average 1.9:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Arendal won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.9:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Jerv	22	16	4	2	47:21	26	52
10	Arendal	22	7	5	10	30:38	-8	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arendal Fotball
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
10.05.26	Brattvåg - Arendal	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	Arendal - Sandviken	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Kvik Halden - Arendal	3:1 ✺
18.04.26	Arendal - Notodden	2:2 ✺
12.04.26	Arendal - Bjarg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLTL
- FK Jerv
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
10.05.26	Jerv - Bjarg	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	Eik-Tønsberg - Jerv	2:3 ✺
26.04.26	Jerv - Træff	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Pors - Jerv	0:3 ✺
12.04.26	Jerv - Mjøndalen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
25.10.25	Arendal - Jerv	3:1
Norwegian NM Cup
13.08.25	Arendal - Jerv	3:2 ET
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
16.05.25	Jerv - Arendal	1:1
Club Friendly
07.02.25	Jerv - Arendal	2:2
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
14.09.24	Jerv - Arendal	3:0
16.05.24	Arendal - Jerv	3:3
Norwegian NM Cup
01.06.23	Arendal - Jerv	0:1

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