Match Info

Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 6

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: J.J. Ugland Stadion – Levermyr (Grimstad)


	Jerv		Bjarg

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.75	3.4
	2.31	3.86	2.77
	1.9	3.96	3.46	Watch
	1.83	3.5	3.4
	1.81	3.7	3.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.89)	3.75 ↓ (3.9)	3.32 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jerv
47.5%

Draw
24.6%

Bjarg
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

23.4%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

22.4%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jerv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Bjarg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerv than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bjarg than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Jerv - Bjarg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Gadegaard D. (G) 23. Agelin T. 77. Alanko S. 15. Almen M. (C) 11. Badjie K. 3. Hultqvist D. 22. Kolve E. 17. Nordbo S. 19. Strand H. 7. Syvertsen P. 10. Wenaas V.	1. Johnsen J. (G) 14. Aanonsen S. 18. Ahlander A. 4. Ahmer M. 16. Fromreide Aasbo E. 6. Halset V. 25. Hanssen A. 13. Hopsdal S. (C) 7. Hopsdal S. 8. Jorgensen J. 2. Steensen T.
Substitutes
25. Abusdal I. 1. Angelini V. (G) 5. Lillehammer F. 6. Naustdal B. 40. Osestad S. 4. Sanchez J. 9. Simba P. 21. Strangstad S. 42. Syvertsen M.	17. Ali Alzubi M. 22. Christophersen M. 10. Dahl C. 12. Mossestad P. (G) 29. Stephensen K. 19. Stronstad-Loseth S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Hultqvist D. ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Ahlander A. ⚽,
32', Aanonsen S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 2 - 1, Alanko S. ⚽,
64', Steensen T. ↓, Ali Alzubi M. ↑,
64', Hanssen A. ↓, Stronstad-Loseth S. ↑,
67', Badjie K. ↓, Simba P. ↑,
67', Alanko S. ↓, Syvertsen M. ↑,
76', Jorgensen J. ↓, Dahl C. ↑,
77', Strand H. 🟨,
83', Halset V. ↓, Stephensen K. ↑,
85', Nordbo S. ↓, Naustdal B. ↑,
88', Strand H. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
89', 3 - 1, Simba P. ⚽,
90+6', Hopsdal S. 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen and 5).

Jerv is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bjarg is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Jerv may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Jerv is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Jerv will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Jerv	22	16	4	2	47:21	26	52
3	Bjarg	22	14	2	6	47:28	19	44

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Jerv
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
02.05.26	Eik-Tønsberg - Jerv	2:3 ✺
26.04.26	Jerv - Træff	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Pors - Jerv	0:3 ✺
12.04.26	Jerv - Mjøndalen	1:0 ✺
06.04.26	Vidar - Jerv	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTWWW
- IL Bjarg
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
02.05.26	Bjarg - Lysekloster	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	Notodden - Bjarg	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Bjarg - Kvik Halden	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Arendal - Bjarg	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Bjarg - Sandviken	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWLWW

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