Match Info

Date: 26 October 2022, Wednesday

Location: Norac stadion (Arendal)

Referee: Kellerhals M. (Nor)


	Arendal		Ullensaker Kisa

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.75	3.4
	1.95	3.3	3.2
	2	3.75	3.5
	1.99	3.5	3.54
	2	3.25	3.1
	1.92	3.65	3.28	Watch
	2.05	3.6	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.25)	3.54 ↑ (3.4)	3.32 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arendal
46.2%

Draw
26%

Ullensaker Kisa
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

26.3%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

25.8%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arendal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arendal's performance.

Ullensaker Kisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ullensaker Kisa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arendal than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arendal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ullensaker Kisa than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ullensaker Kisa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	7.7%	7.7%

Arendal - Ullensaker Kisa Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Arendal will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Ull Kisa will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arendal: 65% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Arendal in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Ull/Kisa is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arendal will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Arendal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Arendal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arendal Fotball
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
22.10.22	Odd 2 - Arendal	1:5 ✺
15.10.22	Arendal - Egersund	1:0 ✺
08.10.22	Vard Haugesund - Arendal	0:2 ✺
01.10.22	Arendal - Kvik Halden	5:4 ✺
24.09.22	Sotra - Arendal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWW
- Ullensaker Kisa
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
22.10.22	Levanger - Ullensaker Kisa	4:0 ✺
15.10.22	Ullensaker Kisa - Eidsvold Turn	5:0 ✺
09.10.22	Asker Fotball - Ullensaker Kisa	0:0 ✺
02.10.22	Ullensaker Kisa - Hødd	1:0 ✺
25.09.22	Brattvåg - Ullensaker Kisa	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
29.10.17	Ullensaker Kisa - Arendal	4:2
09.04.17	Arendal - Ullensaker Kisa	1:2

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