Match Info

NM Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 27 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Norac stadion (Arendal)


	Arendal		Egersund

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.7	2
	2.9	3.4	2.1
	3.15	3.55	2.08
	3.24	3.5	2.13
	2.69	3.51	2.36	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.1
	3.15	3.68	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3.14)	3.53 ↓ (3.61)	2.13 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arendal
30.8%

Draw
26%

Egersund
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

25.5%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

25.8%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arendal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Egersund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arendal than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Egersund than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Arendal - Egersund Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Rogulj A. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Lovseth R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 1 - 2, Haheim-Elveseter M. ⚽, Vatne S. (A),
89', 2 - 2, Curic A. ⚽, Opsahl A. (A),
Extra Time (0 - 1)
96', 2 - 3, Abu M. ⚽, Eggen K. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arendal won 2.

Arendal has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Egersund has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Arendal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Egersund is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Arendal won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Arendal won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arendal Fotball
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
24.08.25	Brann 2 - Arendal	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	Arendal - Notodden	4:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
13.08.25	Arendal - Jerv	3:2 ET ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
09.08.25	Eik-Tønsberg - Arendal	1:3 ✺
13.07.25	Arendal - Sandviken	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWWWW
- Egersunds IK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
23.08.25	Egersund - Åsane	1:1 ✺
19.08.25	Lyn - Egersund	1:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
13.08.25	Flekkerøy - Egersund	1:2 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
10.08.25	Skeid - Egersund	0:2 ✺
06.08.25	Egersund - Lillestrøm SK	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
26.08.23	Arendal - Egersund	1:1
07.05.23	Egersund - Arendal	3:3
15.10.22	Arendal - Egersund	1:0
18.04.22	Egersund - Arendal	2:2
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
14.11.21	Arendal - Egersund	5:2
21.07.21	Egersund - Arendal	3:0
Club Friendly
05.06.21	Egersund - Arendal	0:3

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