Match Info

NORWAY: Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 11

Date: 15 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Norac stadion (Arendal)


	Arendal		Viking 2

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.7	2.6
	2.1	3.75	2.8
	2.2	3.85	2.82
	2.03	3.86	3.12
	2.1	3.7	2.6
	2.17	3.74	2.71	Watch
	2.17	3.8	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.47)	3.77 ↑ (3.64)	2.76 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arendal
42.8%

Draw
24.2%

Viking 2
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

24.8%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

24.4%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arendal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arendal's performance.

Viking 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Viking 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arendal than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arendal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viking 2 than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Viking 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arendal - Viking 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Smedplass A. (G) 4. Bergan V. 16. Helgesen E. 2. Hultqvist D. (C) 19. Ibishi D. 8. Koko J. 3. Lereng E. 9. Lille-Lovo S. 17. Nersveen P. 23. Ness T. 7. Williams J.	1. Bergsvik A. (G) 12. Auklend V. 25. Austbo E. 7. Fiksdal J. (C) 11. Galta J. 20. Hansen J. 3. Lillehammer F. 10. Moi T. 15. Paulsen K. 6. Saetherbo K. 8. Visted O.
Substitutes
5. Andersen S. 20. Basic A. 14. Haga M. 26. Jacobsen M. 10. Kvinge M. 21. Lovseth R. 13. Maric A. 27. Skjaevestad B. (G)	4. Botnen F. 18. Dahle S. G. 16. Fiksdal B. 21. Fuglestad N. 14. Haland T. 9. Larsen F. 13. Sola M. (G) 24. Taraldset F. 5. Tveiten A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', 0 - 1, Fiksdal J. ⚽,
51', Koko J. 🟨,
56', Nersveen P. ↓, Maric A. ↑,
56', Lille-Lovo S. ↓, Kvinge M. ↑,
56', Koko J. ↓, Lovseth R. ↑,
63', Ness T. 🟨,
64', Lereng E. ↓, Basic A. ↑,
75', Hansen J. ↓, Haland T. ↑,
76', Galta J. ↓, Fuglestad N. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Lovseth R. ⚽,
79', Ibishi D. ↓, Andersen S. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Lereng E. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Relegation: )).

Arendal is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Viking 2 is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arendal Fotball
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
09.06.24	Hødd - Arendal	2:1 ✺
01.06.24	Arendal - Notodden	1:2 ✺
26.05.24	Sotra - Arendal	2:1 ✺
16.05.24	Arendal - Jerv	3:3 ✺
11.05.24	Arendal - Kvik Halden	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLTW
- Viking 2
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
09.06.24	Viking 2 - Notodden	2:3 ✺
02.06.24	Sotra - Viking 2	1:1 ✺
27.05.24	Viking 2 - Lysekloster	5:1 ✺
21.05.24	Vard Haugesund - Viking 2	1:1 ✺
13.05.24	Viking 2 - Ørn-Horten	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LTWTW

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