Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 28

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday


	Arenteiro		Rayo Majadahonda

	1	X	2
	1.8	3	4.33
	1.8	3	4.2
	1.66	3.5	5	Watch
	1.96	3.18	4.62
	1.9	3.18	4.62
	1.86	3.2	4.41
	1.81	3.15	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.63)	3.17 ↓ (3.35)	4.51 ↓ (5.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arenteiro
50.5%

Draw
29.1%

Rayo Majadahonda
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

27.3%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

26.2%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arenteiro's form might have worsened.

Rayo Majadahonda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arenteiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Majadahonda than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Arenteiro - Rayo Majadahonda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Garcia D. (C) 22. Sanchez J. 4. Garcia Vitra D. R. 3. Novoa G. 18. Ramon A. 16. Esquerdo V. 8. Illesca M. 11. Pibe 23. Chacon L. 17. Cardero A. 7. Santos C.	13. Sarr C. (G) 2. Ceballos D. 15. Hermoso K. 34. Dias J. 3. Casado J. 6. Arnedo A. 21. Reguera F. 20. Garcia S. 19. Fernandez A. 10. Perez P. 9. Cortes J.
Substitutes
20. Berardozzi T. 1. Brea Pablo (G) 5. Bueso P. 24. Figueroa M. (G) 9. Gonzaga Delage Cruzado L. 2. Lucas Sena 10. Marquitos 19. Ramos I. 6. Rodriguez T. 21. Romay M.	23. Camacho S. 7. Enri R. 37. Exposito S. 14. Hervias P. 11. Martinez J. 16. Nakai T. 17. Ro 22. Rodriguez G. 30. Roze V. (G) 4. Suarez P. 18. Tavares R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', Cortes J. ⚽,
36', 🟨,
36', 🟨,
37', Pibe (Pen),
43', Garcia D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
66', Arnedo A. ⚽,
69', Garcia Vitra D. R. ↓, Ramos I. ↑,
69', Cardero A. ↓, Romay M. ↑,
71', Cortes J. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
75', Sanchez J. ↓, Rodriguez T. ↑,
75', Illesca M. ↓, Gonzaga Delage Cruzado L. ↑,
79', Martinez J. 🟨,
82', Santos C. ⚽,
85', Reguera F. ↓, Camacho S. ↑,
85', Garcia S. ↓, Hervias P. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Arenteiro is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rayo Majadahonda is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Arenteiro is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Arenteiro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Arenteiro
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
09.03.24	Tarazona - Arenteiro	1:2 ✺
02.03.24	Arenteiro - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	SD Logroñés - Arenteiro	1:0 ✺
17.02.24	Arenteiro - Osasuna B	1:0 ✺
10.02.24	Arenteiro - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLLWW
- CF Rayo Majadahonda
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
09.03.24	Rayo Majadahonda - Real Unión de Irun	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Teruel - Rayo Majadahonda	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Rayo Majadahonda - Cornellà	1:3 ✺
18.02.24	Barcelona B - Rayo Majadahonda	3:1 ✺
11.02.24	Rayo Majadahonda - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
10.12.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Arenteiro	2:0

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