Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 17

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Espiñedo (Ourense)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Arenteiro		Osasuna B

	1	X	2
	1.9	3	4
	1.95	3	4.05
	1.95	3.15	4.12
	2.02	2.96	4.23	Watch
	1.95	2.75	4
	1.94	2.94	4.09
	1.88	3	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.01)	2.97 ↓ (3.03)	4.07 ↑ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arenteiro
46.9%

Draw
30.7%

Osasuna B
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

29.9%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

31.4%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Osasuna B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna B than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Arenteiro - Osasuna B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alvin (G) 22. Sanchez J. (C) 4. Falcon E. 3. Lohr L. 15. Moreno D. 7. Ferreiro D. 14. Safrai 25. Bastida A. 11. Cuellar J. 18. Mingo V. 6. Val B.	1. Stamatakis D. (G) 3. Jimenez A. 4. Espejo D. 23. Serrano M. 22. Larrion A. 16. Auria M. 34. Arrasate I. 5. Santos U. 17. Arroyo R. 7. Lumbreras C. (C) 8. Yoldi A.
Substitutes
13. Garcia D. (G) 44. Gimenez F. 8. Gonzalez D. 16. Guerrero J. 30. Iglesias F. 21. Llacer L. 2. Moya P. 12. Ochoa M. 23. Romera D.	30. Anso M. 18. Bonel A. 14. Garcia J. 26. Garin X. 9. Gonzalez D. 11. Pedroarena M. 20. Perez B. 13. Rafa (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Sanchez J. ↓, Llacer L. ↑,
28', 1 - 0, Bastida A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Serrano M. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
64', Jimenez A. ↓, Anso M. ↑,
64', Arrasate I. ↓, Pedroarena M. ↑,
67', Cuellar J. 🟨,
69', 2 - 0, Safrai ⚽,
70', Safrai ↓, Ochoa M. ↑,
70', Cuellar J. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
76', Arroyo R. ↓, Garin X. ↑,
76', Larrion A. ↓, Perez B. ↑,
84', 🟨,
89', Val B. ↓, Moya P. ↑,
89', Mingo V. ↓, Romera D. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Arenteiro is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Arenteiro won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Arenteiro won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Arenteiro
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
13.12.25	Ponferradina - Arenteiro	1:3 ✺
07.12.25	Arenteiro - Talavera de la Reina	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Tenerife - Arenteiro	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Arenteiro - Ourense CF	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Arenteiro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLLL
- Osasuna B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
13.12.25	Osasuna B - Lugo	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	CD Guadalajara - Osasuna B	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Osasuna B - Zamora	1:3 ✺
23.11.25	Cacereño - Osasuna B	1:2 ✺
15.11.25	Osasuna B - Barakaldo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.05.25	Osasuna B - Arenteiro	3:0
23.11.24	Arenteiro - Osasuna B	1:1
17.02.24	Arenteiro - Osasuna B	1:0
09.09.23	Osasuna B - Arenteiro	0:0

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