Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa América - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 9 July 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: MetLife Stadium (East Rutherford, NJ) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Maza P. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	02:00	MCN TV
Argentina	21:00	DGO, TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Australia	10:00	Optus Sport
Austria	02:00	DAZN Austria
Bosnia And Herzegovina	02:00	Arena Premium 1
Brazil	21:00	SporTV
Bulgaria	03:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	20:00	CTV 2, RDS 1, TSN 1, TSN 3, TSN 4, TSN+
China	08:00	QQ Sports
Croatia	02:00	Arena Sport 1
Cuba	20:00	Tele Rebelde
Denmark	02:00	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
El Salvador	18:00	Canal 4, TCS GO
Fiji	12:00	FBC Sports
Finland	03:00	Elisa Viihde, Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	02:00	L'Equipe Live Foot
Germany	02:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	03:00	ANT 1+, ANT 1 Greece
Guatemala	18:00	Azteca Guatemala
Honduras	18:00	Canal 11
Hong Kong	08:00	HOY TV
Hungary	02:00	Arena 4
Iceland	00:00	Viaplay
India	05:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	07:00	Indosiar, Vidio
Ireland	01:00	Premier Sports 1
Israel	03:00	Sport 2
Italy	02:00	Mola TV
Malaysia	08:00	Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	18:00	Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Canal 5, TUDN
Netherlands	02:00	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Csport Caribbean
Norway	02:00	Viaplay
Paraguay	20:00	Tigo Sports
Poland	02:00	Viaplay
Portugal	01:00	Sport TV2
Russia	03:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	02:00	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	02:00	STVR Sport
Slovenia	02:00	Arena Sport 1
South America	—	DGO Latin America
South Korea	09:00	Tving, tvN Sports
Spain	02:00	3Cat
Sweden	02:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Tajikistan	05:00	Futbol TV
Turkey	03:00	Exxen
Ukraine	03:00	MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	01:00	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Usa	20:00	Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, FuboTV, SiriusXM FC, TUDN, Univision
Vietnam	07:00	VTV Can Tho
International	00:00	Amazon Prime Video, DirecTV Sports, MEGOGO Futbol 1


	Argentina		Canada

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	10	Watch
	1.33	5	9.5
	1.33	5.3	11	Watch
	1.34	5.01	11.23
	1.33	5.1	9.64	Watch
	1.3	5	11	Watch
	1.35	5.27	11.1	Watch
	1.31	5.2	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.35)	5.11 ↑ (5.04)	10.56 ↑ (9.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa America with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FS1, TUDN

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Current Win Probability

Argentina
72.2%

Draw
18.8%

Canada
9.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.7%

18.9%

10.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

18.7%

10.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Canada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentina than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canada than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.9%	13.2%	5.9%

Argentina - Canada Predictions

Users Predictions: Argentina will win (53 of 65 users predict this - 81.54%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.11% – 90.97%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Martinez E. (G) Aston Villa 4. Montiel G. Sevilla 13. Romero C. Tottenham 25. Martinez Li. Manchester United 3. Tagliafico N. Lyon 7. de Paul R. Atl. Madrid 24. Fernandez E. Chelsea 20. Mac Allister A. Liverpool 10. Messi L. (C) Inter Miami 9. Alvarez J. Manchester City 11. Di Maria A.	16. Crepeau M. (G) Portland Timbers 2. Johnston A. Celtic 15. Bombito M. Colorado Rapids 13. Cornelius D. Malmo FF 19. Davies A. (C) Bayern Munich 8. Kone I. Marseille 7. Eustaquio S. FC Porto 22. Laryea R. Toronto FC 10. David J. Lille 14. Shaffelburg J. Nashville SC 9. Larin C. Mallorca
Substitutes
8. Acuna M. Sevilla 1. Armani F. (G) River Plate 21. Carboni V. Inter 17. Garnacho A. Manchester United 15. Gonzalez N. Fiorentina 16. Lo Celso G. Tottenham 22. Martinez La. Inter 2. Martinez Quarta L. Fiorentina 26. Molina N. Atl. Madrid 19. Otamendi N. Benfica 14. Palacios E. Bayer Leverkusen 5. Paredes L. AS Roma 6. Pezzella G. Betis 18. Rodriguez G. 12. Rulli G. (G) Ajax	20. Ahmed A. Vancouver Whitecaps 11. Bair T. Motherwell 24. Choiniere M. CF Montreal 3. De Fougerolles L. Fulham 26. Hiebert K. St. Louis City 18. McGill T. (G) Brighton 23. Millar L. Basel 4. Miller K. Portland Timbers 25. Oluwaseyi T. Minnesota United 21. Osorio J. Toronto FC 6. Piette S. CF Montreal 12. Russell-Rowe J. Columbus Crew 1. St.Clair D. (G) Minnesota United 5. Waterman J. CF Montreal
Coaches
Scaloni L.	Marsch J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Alvarez J. ⚽, de Paul R. (A),
32', David J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 2 - 0, Messi L. ⚽, Fernandez E. (A),
55', Shaffelburg J. ↓, Millar L. ↑,
55', Laryea R. ↓, Ahmed A. ↑,
63', Eustaquio S. 🟨,
64', Tagliafico N. ↓, Otamendi N. ↑,
64', David J. ↓, Oluwaseyi T. ↑,
71', Montiel G. ↓, Molina N. ↑,
71', Davies A. ↓, Osorio J. ↑,
72', Eustaquio S. ↓, Choiniere M. ↑,
77', Marsch J. 🟨,
78', Alvarez J. ↓, Martinez La. ↑,
78', Di Maria A. ↓, Gonzalez N. ↑,
78', Mac Allister A. ↓, Palacios E. ↑,
79', Kone I. 🟨,
88', Molina N. 🟨,

Preview

Argentina in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Canada is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Argentina is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Canada: Buchanan T. (Shin Injury)

Our prediction for today's Argentina to win the game is with odds 1.33.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Argentina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Argentina
Copa America
04.07.24	Argentina - Ecuador	2:1 penalties ✺
29.06.24	Argentina - Peru	2:0 ✺
25.06.24	Chile - Argentina	0:1 ✺
20.06.24	Argentina - Canada	2:0 ✺
Friendly
14.06.24	Guatemala - Argentina	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWW
- Canada
Copa America
05.07.24	Venezuela - Canada	1:2 penalties ✺
29.06.24	Canada - Chile	0:0 ✺
25.06.24	Peru - Canada	0:1 ✺
20.06.24	Argentina - Canada	2:0 ✺
Friendly
09.06.24	France - Canada	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.7 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Copa America
20.06.24	Argentina - Canada	2:0

Argentina - Canada