Match Info

Copa América Women - Play Offs - 3rd place

Date: 1 August 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado (Quito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSPORTS+ Plus
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 3
Brazil	SporTV
South-america	DGO Latin America
Venezuela	DSPORTS+ Plus


	Argentina W		Uruguay W

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.72	3.4	4.1
	1.65	3.5	4.9
	1.69	3.49	5.15
	1.78	3.35	4.77	Watch
	1.62	3.6	4.33
	1.7	3.44	4.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.82)	3.46 ↓ (3.56)	4.69 ↑ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Argentina W
54.1%

Draw
26.4%

Uruguay W
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

25.9%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

24%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentina W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Uruguay W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentina W than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uruguay W than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Argentina W - Uruguay W Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Argentina (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pereyra S. (G) San Lorenzo 4. Roggerone C. 13. Braun S. Spokane Zephyr 6. Cometti A. (C) Madrid CFF 14. Martin M. I. 22. Soriano B. CA Belgrano de Cordoba 8. Falfan D. Newells Old Boys 5. Preininger V. Boca Juniors 10. Pereyra M. San Lorenzo 11. Rodriguez Y. Gremio 15. Bonsegundo F. Madrid CFF	12. Sanchez A. (G) 4. Felipe C. Newells Old Boys 16. Yannel Alhama 2. Lacoste S. 7. Tregartten S. 19. Carballo W. Bahia 8. Velazco X. Logrono Dux 9. Gonzalez P. (C) Sevilla 21. Viera J. 10. Aquino B. Internacional 11. Pizarro E. Eibar
Substitutes
17. Altgelt F. River Plate 23. Chaves A. (G) 16. Dominguez S. Newells Old Boys 7. Gimenez M. Ferro 20. Gomez V. Rosario Central 21. Gramaglia P. Bragantino 19. Holzheier A. Racing Club 12. Masciarelli R. O. (G) Juarez 9. Nunez K. Boca Juniors 2. Sachs A. Racing Club 3. Stabile E. Boca Juniors 18. Troncoso C. Boca Juniors	15. Barone F. Platense 14. Bonilla A. 3. Farias D. 5. Fitipaldi M. 20. Gomez A. Bahia 17. Gonzalez P. 22. Guedes I. 18. Latua A. 13. Olivera S. (G) UAI Urquiza 1. Olmedo R. (G) 6. Ramirez S. Racing Club
Coaches
Portanova G.	Longo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
16', Gonzalez P. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Cometti A. ⚽, Martin M. I. (A),
35', 1 - 1, Pizarro E. ⚽, Viera J. (A),
45', 1 - 2, Viera J. ⚽, Pizarro E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', Velazco X. 🟨,
66', Falfan D. ↓, Dominguez S. ↑,
66', Pereyra M. ↓, Nunez K. ↑,
66', Rodriguez Y. ↓, Holzheier A. ↑,
70', Aquino B. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
81', Soriano B. ↓, Troncoso C. ↑,
81', Martin M. I. ↓, Stabile E. ↑,
83', 2 - 2, Bonsegundo F. (Pen),
84', Carballo W. ↓, Fitipaldi M. ↑,
90+3', Felipe C. 🟨,
90+4', Sanchez A. ↓, Olivera S. ↑,
90+4', Tregartten S. ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Gonzalez P. (Pen),
1, Bonsegundo F. (Pen),
2, Lacoste S. (Pen),
2, Braun S. (Pen),
3, Ramirez S. (Pen),
3, Roggerone C. (Pen),
4, Olivera S. (Pen),
4, Cometti A. (Pen),
5, Pizarro E. (Pen),
5, Nunez K. (Pen),

Preview

Argentina has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Uruguay has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Argentina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Argentina is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Argentina will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentina won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Argentina W
Copa America Women
28.07.25	Argentina W - Colombia W	0:0 ✺
24.07.25	Ecuador W - Argentina W	0:2 ✺
21.07.25	Argentina W - Peru W	1:0 ✺
18.07.25	Argentina W - Chile W	2:1 ✺
15.07.25	Uruguay W - Argentina W	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWWWW
- Uruguay W
Copa America Women
29.07.25	Brazil W - Uruguay W	5:1 ✺
24.07.25	Chile W - Uruguay W	0:3 ✺
18.07.25	Uruguay W - Peru W	1:0 ✺
15.07.25	Uruguay W - Argentina W	0:1 ✺
11.07.25	Ecuador W - Uruguay W	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Copa America Women
15.07.25	Uruguay W - Argentina W	0:1
Friendly International Women
13.07.24	Argentina W - Uruguay W	1:1
10.07.24	Argentina W - Uruguay W	0:2
Copa America Women
15.07.22	Argentina W - Uruguay W	5:0
Friendly International Women
23.05.19	Argentina W - Uruguay W	3:1

Argentina W - Uruguay W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide