The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Argentino de Rosario 55.1%
Draw 26.6%
Deportivo Muñiz 18.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.1%
28.9%
32%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.5%
29.2%
31.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Argentino de Rosario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Argentino de Rosario's performance.
Deportivo Muñiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Muñiz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentino de Rosario than the current prediction. (-15.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Argentino de Rosario that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Muñiz than the current prediction. (+13.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Muñiz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Argentino de Rosario - Deportivo Muñiz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Penalties (5 - 3)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
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2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
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Preview
Neutral location.
Argentino de Rosario is Torneo Promocional Amateur (Relegation ~ Play Offs ).
Deportivo Muñiz is Torneo Promocional Amateur (Relegation ~ Play Offs ).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Rosario won 2.
Argentino de Rosario is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Deportivo Muñiz has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Argentino de Rosario holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Argentino de Rosario has recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:13 (averaging 1.2:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Argentino de Rosario against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 11:5 goals (averaging 1.6:0.7 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Argentino de Rosario - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 39.13%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.
Deportivo Muñiz - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 32.01%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.
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