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Current Win Probability
Lugano 54.1%
Draw 28.2%
Argentino de Rosario 17.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.2%
27.7%
21.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.5%
26%
19.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
Argentino de Rosario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentino de Rosario than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Lugano - Argentino de Rosario Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Cagliari T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
55', 1 - 1, Gonzalez M. ⚽,
62', 1 - 2, Bartalini T. ⚽,
65', Soria R. 🟥,
78', 2 - 2, Julian J. C. ⚽,
85', 2 - 3, Yess F. ⚽,
88', Cagliari T. 🟥,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 1.
Lugano has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Argentino de Rosario has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Lugano may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Lugano is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Lugano has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:18 (averaging 1.3:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lugano against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 5:7 goals (averaging 1.3:1.8 per game).