Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera C - Clausura - Round 18

Date: 21 October 2024, Monday


	Argentino de Rosario		Real Pilar

	1	X	2
	3.4	3	1.98
	3.7	3	2.01
	3.69	2.96	2.02
	3.85	2.97	2.03	Watch
	3.75	3	1.95
	3.72	3.05	1.99
	3.7	3	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↑ (3.35)	3 ↑ (2.83)	2 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Argentino de Rosario
24.5%

Draw
30.2%

Real Pilar
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

32.1%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

31.1%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentino de Rosario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Real Pilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentino de Rosario than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Argentino de Rosario - Real Pilar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 0 - 1, Crocco M. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 22 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Super final: Final)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Argentino de Rosario won 2.

Recent matches Argentino de Rosario is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Real Pilar in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Argentino de Rosario could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Real Pilar will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Argentino de Rosario won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:7 (average 0.6:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Argentino de Rosario won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Argentino de Rosario
Argentinian Primera C
06.10.24	Defensores de Cambaceres - Argentino de Rosario	0:0 ✺
28.09.24	Argentino de Rosario - Atlas General Rodríguez	3:0 ✺
24.09.24	Deportivo Español - Argentino de Rosario	3:1 ✺
14.09.24	Argentino de Rosario - Centro Español	2:3 ✺
11.09.24	Victoriano Arenas - Argentino de Rosario	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWLLW
- Real Pilar FC
Argentinian Primera C
13.10.24	Real Pilar - Defensores de Cambaceres	1:0 ✺
07.10.24	Atlas General Rodríguez - Real Pilar	0:1 ✺
28.09.24	Real Pilar - Deportivo Español	1:0 ✺
23.09.24	Centro Español - Real Pilar	0:2 ✺
16.09.24	Real Pilar - Victoriano Arenas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
19.05.24	Real Pilar - Argentino de Rosario	0:1
Argentinian Primera D
01.06.19	Real Pilar - Argentino de Rosario	1:0 penalties
25.05.19	Argentino de Rosario - Real Pilar	0:0
27.04.19	Argentino de Rosario - Real Pilar	2:1
25.11.18	Real Pilar - Argentino de Rosario	1:0
24.02.18	Argentino de Rosario - Real Pilar	0:1
24.09.17	Real Pilar - Argentino de Rosario	3:1

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