Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Genacio Salice Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Villa San Carlos		Real Pilar

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.8	2.65
	2.95	2.8	2.6	Watch
	2.68	2.73	2.43
	2.96	2.75	2.59	Watch
	2.98	2.83	2.63
	2.95	2.8	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.65)	2.79 ↓ (2.9)	2.58 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Villa San Carlos
32%

Draw
32.7%

Real Pilar
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

31.9%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

31%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Real Pilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa San Carlos than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Villa San Carlos - Real Pilar Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Pilar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Akimenco T. (G) 4. Lloyaiy A. (C) 2. Cacace J. 6. Machin L. 3. Benavidez N. 5. Acosta A. 8. Ponton A. 7. Lugones A. 11. Samaniego M. 10. Ferro L. 9. Zagert E.	1. Sanchez S. (G) 4. Monge L. 2. Govi G. 6. Rodriguez J. 3. Fantino L. 8. Smith I. 5. Rios N. 11. Crocco M. (C) 7. Martin B. 9. Riquelme M. D. 10. Vergara D.
Substitutes
12. Bangardino P. (G) 14. Buscaglia S. 20. Cairo F. 16. Diaz S. 13. Garraza M. 15. Guallama F. 17. Montes G. 18. Perez T. 19. Zabala F.	16. Diaz G. 19. Dulon A. 15. Franco E. 17. Gomez M. 14. Leguiza D. 13. Otermin A. 18. Pavia K. 20. Risso B. 12. Romano (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Govi G. 🟨,
25', Acosta A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
60', Acosta A. ↓, Guallama F. ↑,
62', 0 - 1, Vergara D. ⚽,
64', 0 - 2, Vergara D. ⚽,
68', Cacace J. ↓, Cairo F. ↑,
68', Ferro L. ↓, Zabala F. ↑,
74', Riquelme M. D. ↓, Risso B. ↑,
76', Vergara D. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
77', Govi G. 🟨,
78', Vergara D. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Zagert E. (Pen),
83', Ponton A. ↓, Diaz S. ↑,
85', Zabala F. 🟨,
87', Fantino L. ↓, Franco E. ↑,
87', Crocco M. ↓, Leguiza D. ↑,
90+5', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
90+7', Guallama F. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 and 4).

Villa San Carlos has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Real Pilar has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Real Pilar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Villa San Carlos
Argentinian Primera B
27.04.25	UAI Urquiza - Villa San Carlos	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Villa San Carlos - Sportivo Italiano	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Villa San Carlos	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Villa San Carlos - Excursionistas	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Acassuso - Villa San Carlos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWLWL
- Real Pilar FC
Argentinian Primera B
20.04.25	Real Pilar - UAI Urquiza	2:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
16.04.25	Belgrano - Real Pilar	3:1 ✺
Argentinian Primera B
12.04.25	Sportivo Italiano - Real Pilar	2:2 ✺
05.04.25	Real Pilar - Ferrocarril Midland	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	Excursionistas - Real Pilar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLTLT

Upcoming Matches