The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Argentinos Juniors 2 22.6%
Draw 25.5%
River Plate 2 51.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.1%
28.2%
42.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28%
27.1%
44.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Argentinos Juniors 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Argentinos Juniors 2's form might have worsened.
River Plate 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting River Plate 2's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentinos Juniors 2 than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Argentinos Juniors 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate 2 than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for River Plate 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Argentinos Juniors 2 - River Plate 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentinos Juniors 2 won 2.
Argentinos Juniors 2 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
River Plate 2 is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
River Plate 2 might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Argentinos Juniors 2 won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 0.7:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Argentinos Juniors 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
Last Results with these Odds
River Plate 2 - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 42.69%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.