Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 5

Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Ariana		Kasserine

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.75	2.40
	2.95	2.72	2.40
	2.54	2.79	2.51
	3.56	2.48	2.45	Watch
	2.95	2.70	2.40
	3.04	2.70	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 (3)	2.69 ↓ (2.75)	2.43 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ariana
29.9%

Draw
33.3%

Kasserine
36.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.7%

32.4%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ariana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Kasserine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Ariana - Kasserine Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', 0 - 1, Khemissi H. ⚽,
73', 1 - 1, Nasrallah S. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 2, Abdelli R. ⚽,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 10th and 3rd in the Promotion - Ligue 2 Promotion - Playoffs).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Ariana has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ariana against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Ariana
Tunisian Ligue 2
19.10.26	Union Ksour Essef - Ariana	0:0 ✺
11.10.26	Ariana - Kalaâ	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Ariana - Stade Gabèsien	1:1 ✺
12.05.26	Moknine - Ariana	0:0 ✺
28.04.26	Bouchamma - Ariana	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWTTL
- AS Kasserine
Tunisian Ligue 2
19.10.26	Kasserine - JS Kairouan	1:0 ✺
11.10.26	Médenine - Kasserine	0:3 ✺
27.09.26	EGS Gafsa - Kasserine	1:2 ✺
25.05.26	Hammam-Lif - Kasserine	1:0 ✺
12.05.26	Kasserine - Union Ksour Essef	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue 2
24.01.26	Kasserine - Ariana	2:0
28.09.25	Ariana - Kasserine	2:1

Ariana - Kasserine