Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 9

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Ariana		Korba

	1	X	2
	1.85	2.98	4.25
	1.87	2.95	4.02
	2.24	2.78	3.57	Watch
	1.97	2.88	4.06
	1.79	3.05	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.79)	2.93 ↓ (3.05)	4.14 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ariana
46.9%

Draw
31.1%

Korba
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

29.9%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

28.9%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ariana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Korba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ariana than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ariana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korba than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Ariana - Korba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Cherarda H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+8', 0 - 2, Maamouri A. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 12).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ariana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Korba has had a series of home games.

In this match, Ariana is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ariana won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ariana won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Ariana
Tunisian Ligue 2
12.11.25	Stade Gabèsien - Ariana	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Ariana - Jendouba Sport	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Union Ksour Essef - Ariana	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Ariana - Redeyef	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Ariana - Djelma	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTLWW
- CS Korba
Tunisian Ligue 2
08.11.25	Korba - Kasserine	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Jendouba Sport - Korba	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Korba - Kalaâ	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	Korba - Moknine	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Korba - EGS Gafsa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue 2
13.04.25	Ariana - Korba	2:0
31.05.24	Korba - Ariana	2:1
16.12.23	Ariana - Korba	0:0
05.04.19	Ariana - Korba	2:2

Ariana - Korba: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide