Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 5

Date: 12 November 2025, Wednesday


	Stade Gabèsien		Ariana

	1	X	2
	2.18	2.72	3.55
	2.33	2.82	3.58
	1.82	3.10	4.50	Watch
	2.24	2.63	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.82)	2.82 ↓ (3.1)	3.82 ↓ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stade Gabèsien
43.1%

Draw
32.8%

Ariana
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

29.5%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stade Gabèsien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stade Gabèsien's form might have worsened.

Ariana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Stade Gabèsien - Ariana Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ariana (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Ariana (2.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Ariana (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Ariana (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Ariana (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Jerbi W. ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, Jerbi W. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+1', 2 - 1, Zoghlami C. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion Group: )).

Stade Gabèsien may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Stade Gabèsien is the team to beat.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Gabèsien
Tunisian Ligue 2
26.10.25	Sidi Bouzid - Stade Gabèsien	2:6 ✺
12.10.25	Jendouba Sport - Stade Gabèsien	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Stade Gabèsien - Union Ksour Essef	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Stade Gabèsien - Korba	4:0 ✺
23.05.25	Stade Gabèsien - Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTTWL
- AS Ariana
Tunisian Ligue 2
08.11.25	Ariana - Jendouba Sport	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Union Ksour Essef - Ariana	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Ariana - Redeyef	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Ariana - Djelma	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Ariana - Kasserine	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TLWWW

Stade Gabèsien - Ariana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide