Match Info

Azadegan League - Round 15

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday


	Ario Eslamshahr		Damash Gilan

	1	X	2
	1.88	2.67	4.09
	1.63	2.99	7.19	Watch
	1.9	2.83	4.52
	1.88	2.8	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.62)	2.82 ↓ (2.92)	5.08 ↓ (7.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ario Eslamshahr
49.9%

Draw
32.2%

Damash Gilan
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

31.2%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

21.5%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ario Eslamshahr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ario Eslamshahr's form might have worsened.

Damash Gilan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Damash Gilan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ario Eslamshahr than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ario Eslamshahr that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damash Gilan than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Ario Eslamshahr - Damash Gilan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Eisalou A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
80', 1 - 1, Yazdani M. (Penalty Awarded),
83', 2 - 1, Rohani E. ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 1, Salehi E. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Ario Eslamshahr has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Damash Gilan has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Ario Eslamshahr is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ario Eslamshahr won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 0.8:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ario Eslamshahr won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ario Eslamshahr
Iran Division 1
06.12.25	Besat Kermanshah - Ario Eslamshahr	1:1 ✺
27.11.25	Ario Eslamshahr - SaiPa	0:1 ✺
14.11.25	Palayesh Naft - Ario Eslamshahr	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Ario Eslamshahr - Niroye Zamini	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Shahrdari Noshahr - Ario Eslamshahr	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLTWL
- Damash Gilan
Iran Division 1
06.12.25	Damash Gilan - Havadar	0:2
28.11.25	Mes Sungun - Damash Gilan	0:0 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
22.11.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Damash Gilan	1:0 ✺
Iran Division 1
16.11.25	Damash Gilan - Shenavarsazi Qeshm	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Damash Gilan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
11.03.25	Ario Eslamshahr - Damash Gilan	1:0
23.10.24	Damash Gilan - Ario Eslamshahr	0:0
21.04.24	Ario Eslamshahr - Damash Gilan	2:0
08.11.23	Damash Gilan - Ario Eslamshahr	1:0

Ario Eslamshahr - Damash Gilan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide