Match Info

Azadegan League - Round 11

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman		Damash Gilan

	1	X	2
	1.70	2.95	6.01	Watch
	1.75	2.99	5.67
	1.8	2.95	5.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.7)	2.96 ↓ (3.03)	5.79 ↓ (6.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman
52.8%

Draw
31.2%

Damash Gilan
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

30.6%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

30%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Damash Gilan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Damash Gilan than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Mes Shahr e Babak Kerman - Damash Gilan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Mes Shahr-e Babak is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Damash Gilan's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Mes Shahr-e Babak is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mes Shahr-e Babak won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Mes Shahr-e Babak won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman
Iran Division 1
25.10.25	Sanat Naft - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - SaiPa	1:0 ✺
13.10.25	Shahrdari Noshahr - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Mes Kerman	1:0 ✺
30.09.25	Palayesh Naft - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWWWT
- Damash Gilan
Iran Division 1
25.10.25	Damash Gilan - Nassaji Mazandaran	5:1 ✺
13.10.25	Besat Kermanshah - Damash Gilan	0:0 ✺
06.10.25	Damash Gilan - Niroye Zamini	1:1 ✺
30.09.25	Mes Kerman - Damash Gilan	2:1 ✺
24.09.25	Damash Gilan - SaiPa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
30.01.25	Damash Gilan - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	1:0
27.03.24	Damash Gilan - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	2:1
20.10.23	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Damash Gilan	3:2

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