Match Info

Azadegan League - Round 23

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Ario Eslamshahr		Pars Jonoubi Jam

	1	X	2
	2.39	2.75	3.28	Watch
	3.4	2.6	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↓ (3.4)	2.68 ↑ (2.6)	2.83 ↑ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ario Eslamshahr
32.2%

Draw
34.9%

Pars Jonoubi Jam
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

35%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

35.1%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ario Eslamshahr has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ario Eslamshahr's performance.

Pars Jonoubi Jam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pars Jonoubi Jam might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ario Eslamshahr than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ario Eslamshahr that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pars Jonoubi Jam than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pars Jonoubi Jam could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
87', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 4).

Ario Eslamshahr has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pars Jonoubi Jam is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Pars Jonoubi Jam might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ario Eslamshahr won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ario Eslamshahr won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Pars Janoobi Jam	4	2	2	0	4:2	2	8
8	Ario Eslamshahr	4	2	0	2	3:4	-1	6

Last Results with these Odds

Ario Eslamshahr - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 26.76%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ario Eslamshahr
Iran Division 1
15.02.26	Fard Alborz - Ario Eslamshahr	1:0 ✺
09.02.26	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Ario Eslamshahr	1:0 ✺
02.02.26	Ario Eslamshahr - Havadar	0:0 ✺
27.01.26	Mes Sungun - Ario Eslamshahr	0:1 ✺
21.01.26	Ario Eslamshahr - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLTWT
- Pars Jonoubi Jam
Iran Division 1
15.02.26	Pars Jonoubi Jam - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Shenavarsazi Qeshm - Pars Jonoubi Jam	1:2 ✺
02.02.26	Pars Jonoubi Jam - Mes Sungun	5:0 ✺
27.01.26	Nassaji Mazandaran - Pars Jonoubi Jam	1:2 ✺
21.01.26	Pars Jonoubi Jam - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
30.09.25	Pars Jonoubi Jam - Ario Eslamshahr	1:0
18.03.25	Pars Jonoubi Jam - Ario Eslamshahr	2:2
29.10.24	Ario Eslamshahr - Pars Jonoubi Jam	1:1
08.10.23	Ario Eslamshahr - Pars Jonoubi Jam	0:0

Ario Eslamshahr - Pars Jonoubi Jam: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide