Match Info

Azadegan League - Round 22

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Fard Alborz		Ario Eslamshahr

	1	X	2
	2.67	2.46	3.27	Watch
	2.71	2.3	3.36	Watch
	2.62	2.4	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 (2.67)	2.39 ↓ (2.46)	3.28 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fard Alborz
34.1%

Draw
38.1%

Ario Eslamshahr
27.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.5%

37.4%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

35.5%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fard Alborz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Ario Eslamshahr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fard Alborz than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ario Eslamshahr than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Fard Alborz - Ario Eslamshahr Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Fard (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fard (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 0)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 12).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fard won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Ario Eslamshahr	7	4	0	3	9:6	3	12
5	Fard	7	3	2	2	9:6	3	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fard Alborz
Iran Division 1
08.02.26	Mes Sungun - Fard Alborz	0:0 ✺
02.02.26	Fard Alborz - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	1:1 ✺
27.01.26	Naft va Gaz Gachsaran - Fard Alborz	1:1 ✺
20.01.26	Fard Alborz - Shenavarsazi Qeshm	0:0 ✺
26.12.25	Fard Alborz - Damash Gilan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTTTT
- Ario Eslamshahr
Iran Division 1
09.02.26	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Ario Eslamshahr	1:0 ✺
02.02.26	Ario Eslamshahr - Havadar	0:0 ✺
27.01.26	Mes Sungun - Ario Eslamshahr	0:1 ✺
21.01.26	Ario Eslamshahr - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran	0:0 ✺
03.01.26	Shenavarsazi Qeshm - Ario Eslamshahr	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
23.09.25	Ario Eslamshahr - Fard Alborz	0:0

Fard Alborz - Ario Eslamshahr