Match Info

IRAN: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 11

Date: 31 October 2022, Monday


	Arman Gohar		Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.2	3.9
	2.36	2.21	3.95
	2.45	2.14	4.34
	2.47	2.35	3.86
	2.42	2.26	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.82)	2.23 ↓ (2.39)	4.03 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arman Gohar
37.2%

Draw
40.4%

Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

37.4%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

39.8%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arman Gohar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arman Gohar's performance.

Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arman Gohar than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arman Gohar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	53.3%	13.3%

Arman Gohar - Mes Shahr e Babak Kerman Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Arman Gohar will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Mes Shahr-e Babak will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.1% – 78.5%.

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 and 7).

Arman Gohar is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Mes Shahr-e Babak is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arman Gohar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Arman Gohar will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Arman Gohar won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Arman Gohar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arman Gohar
Iran Division 1
25.10.22	Darya Babol - Arman Gohar	0:0 ✺
19.10.22	Arman Gohar - Shahrdari Astara	1:0 ✺
11.10.22	Pars Jonoubi Jam - Arman Gohar	0:1 ✺
06.10.22	Arman Gohar - Fajr Sepasi	1:1 ✺
28.09.22	Esteghlal Molasani - Arman Gohar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWWTT
- Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman
Iran Division 1
25.10.22	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Chooka Talesh	2:1 ✺
18.10.22	Omid Vahdat Khorasan - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	Mes Shahr Babak awarded ✺
11.10.22	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Shams Azar Qazvin	1:1 ✺
06.10.22	Van Pars Naghshe Jahan - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	0:0 ✺
28.09.22	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - SaiPa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 W?TTT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
05.05.22	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Arman Gohar	1:1
25.12.21	Arman Gohar - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	1:0

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