Match Info

Date: 11 October 2022, Tuesday


	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman		Shams Azar Qazvin

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.55	2.35
	3.55	2.4	2.31
	3.67	2.4	2.37
	3	2.62	2.5
	3.98	2.23	2.58
	3.7	2.47	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (2.63)	2.45 ↓ (2.6)	2.41 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman
25.6%

Draw
37%

Shams Azar Qazvin
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

34.3%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

35.5%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman's form might have worsened.

Shams Azar Qazvin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shams Azar Qazvin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shams Azar Qazvin than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shams Azar Qazvin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	69.2%	15.4%

Mes Shahr e Babak Kerman - Shams Azar Qazvin Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Mes Shahr-e Babak will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Shams Azar Qazvin will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 44.1% – 94.3%.

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Persian Gulf Pro League).

Recent matches Mes Shahr-e Babak is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shams Azar Qazvin is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mes Shahr-e Babak won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Mes Shahr-e Babak won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman
Iran Division 1
06.10.22	Van Pars Naghshe Jahan - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	0:0 ✺
28.09.22	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - SaiPa	0:0 ✺
21.09.22	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	0:0 ✺
13.09.22	Kheybar Khorramabad - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	0:0 ✺
07.09.22	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Shahrdari Hamedan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TTTTW
- Shams Azar Qazvin
Iran Division 1
06.10.22	Shams Azar Qazvin - Shahrdari Astara	3:1 ✺
28.09.22	Fajr Sepasi - Shams Azar Qazvin	1:0
20.09.22	Shams Azar Qazvin - Shahrdari Hamedan	2:1 ✺
13.09.22	Esteghlal Molasani - Shams Azar Qazvin	0:0 ✺
07.09.22	Shams Azar Qazvin - Pars Jonoubi Jam	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
16.03.22	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Shams Azar Qazvin	0:0

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