Match Info

GFA League - Round 28

Date: 20 June 2025, Friday


	Armed Forces		Steve Biko

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.55	2.87
				Watch
	2.58	2.65	2.94
				Watch
	2.59	2.65	2.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (3.08)	2.62 ↑ (2.52)	2.9 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 10.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Armed Forces
34.7%

Draw
34.3%

Steve Biko
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

36.3%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Armed Forces has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Armed Forces's performance.

Steve Biko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Armed Forces than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Steve Biko than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Armed Forces - Steve Biko Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, ⚽,
35', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
64', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Armed Forces won 2.

In recent matches, Armed Forces has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Steve Biko is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Armed Forces has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Armed Forces won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 0.6:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Armed Forces won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Armed Forces FC
Gambian GFA League
13.06.25	Armed Forces - Gambian Dutch Lions	0:0 ✺
04.06.25	Falcons - Armed Forces	2:1 ✺
22.05.25	Brikama United - Armed Forces	1:2 ✺
17.05.25	TMT - Armed Forces	1:1 ✺
29.04.25	BST Galaxy - Armed Forces	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 TLWTT
- Steve Biko FC
Gambian GFA League
16.06.25	TMT - Steve Biko	1:1 ✺
03.06.25	Fortune - Steve Biko	2:2 ✺
31.05.25	Team Rhino - Steve Biko	0:1 ✺
22.05.25	Steve Biko - Hart Academy	1:0 ✺
17.05.25	Steve Biko - Banjul United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Gambian GFA League
07.02.25	Steve Biko - Armed Forces	0:0
17.04.24	Armed Forces - Steve Biko	1:0
18.11.23	Steve Biko - Armed Forces	1:4
15.05.23	Steve Biko - Armed Forces	0:0
20.02.23	Armed Forces - Steve Biko	0:0
10.12.21	Steve Biko - Armed Forces	1:0
20.12.17	Steve Biko - Armed Forces	0:0

Armed Forces - Steve Biko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide